On the natural increase of the population of the USSR in 1913 — 1960 years.

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  • On the natural increase of the population of the USSR in 1913 - 1960 years.

 

The population of the USSR  
Year The entire population (million). Including
    Urban agriculture
1913 * 159.2 28.5 130.7
1939 * 190.7 60.4 130.3
1960 (estimate as of January 1) 212.3 103.8 108.5
* The present borders  

Source — The Great Medical Encyclopedia, put in a set of 24/XII 1962, M. Circulation 89,500 copies. Volume 30. Column 1034

The birth rate, death rate and natural increase of the population of the USSR
Year At the 1000 population  
  birthrate mortality natural increase
1913 * 47 30.2 16.8
1940 31.3 18.1 13.2
1950 26.7 9.7 17
1960 24.9 7.1 17.8

Source — The Great Medical Encyclopedia, put in a set of 24/XII 1962, M. Circulation 89,500 copies. Volume 30. Column 1036

So, the natural increase according to official Soviet statistics in the period from 1913 to 1960 was not less than 13.2 and not more than 17.8 per 1,000 per year.

Let's take the average of the lows. 14 people per 1,000 per year — that's natural growth.

Use the course of compound interest.

So.

If there were no wars and revolutions, the result would be the following.

1913 159.2
1914 161.4288
1915 163.6888
1916 165.9804
1917 168.3042
1918 170.6604
1919 173.0497
1920 175.4724
1921 177.929
1922 180.42
1923 182.9459
1924 185.5071
1925 188.1042
1926 190.7377
1927 193.408
1928 196.1157
1929 198.8613
1930 201.6454
1931 204.4684
1932 207.331
1933 210.2336
1934 213.1769
1935 216.1614
1936

219.1876

1937 222.2563
1938 225.3678
1939 228.523
1940 231.7223
1941 234.9664
1942 238.256
1943 241.5915
1944 244.9738
1945 248.4034
1946 251.8811
1947 255.4074
1948 258.9831
1949 262.6089
1950 266.2854
1951 270.0134
1952 273.7936
1953 277.6267
1954 281.5135
1955 285.4547
1956 289.451
1957 293.5034
1958 297.6124
1959 301.779
1960 306.0039

Total — 306 million expected in 1960, if there were no wars and revolutions. But not the 212 million is clear that war and revolution were, and we must make allowances. Now slowly and carefully will make a discount.

Consider that in the 1 st world killed about 2 million people, and civil — is also about 2 million people. We also assume that the people at that time did not multiply. It's unlikely, but suppose. Thus, nachitnaem countdown to 1920,'ll assume that in 1920 the population of the USSR declined by 4 million from 1913.

Here is the calculation.

1921 157.17
1922 159.3704
1923 161.6016
1924 163.864
1925 166.1581
1926 168.4843
1927 170.8431
1928 173.2349
1929 175.6602
1930 178.1194
1931 180.6131
1932 183.1417
1933 185.7056
1934 188.3055
1935 190.9418
1936 193.615
1937 196.3256
1938 199.0742
1939 201.8612
1940 204.6873
1941 207.5529
1942 210.4586
1943 213.405
1944 216.3927
1945 219.4222
1946 222.4941
1947 225.609
1948 228.7676
1949 231.9703
1950 235.2179
1951 238.5109
1952 241.8501
1953 245.236
1954 248.6693
1955 252.1507
1956 255.6808
1957 259.2603
1958 262.89
1959 266.5704
1960 270.3024

So, if it were not for the 1 st World War and the Civil War, the expected number of population of the USSR in 1960 — 270 million people.

We remember that in World War II killed 27 million people. And all the men went to the front, because let's say that the people in the 2 nd World children are not given birth. Because, first, subtract 27 million people, and, secondly, recalculate again, assuming that from approximately 1942 people was less than 27 million That's calculations.

1941 207.5529
1942 180
1943 180
1944 180
1945 180
1946 182,52
1947 185.0753
1948 187.6663
1949 190.2937
1950 192.9578
1951 195.6592
1952 198.3984
1953 201.176
1954 203.9925
1955 206.8483
1956 209.7442
1957 212.6806
1958 215.6582
1959 218.6774
1960 221.7389

Thus, for all of the most favorable tolerances, statistics NOT DOSCHITYVAETSYA 9,000,000 people. In fact — far more so as the natural increase in the years of peace was not 14, but about 17 people in 1000, and people in the wars still loved each other. So, the question. Where 10 million people? This MILLIONS! Live, real people. As you and me. As our wives, children, husbands, parents. LOST. Someone asked me to prove with numbers — here. Please. Can I scatter outs, but the name and surname of Mr. Dzhugashvili ask of me in a positive light not pronounce.


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