Scientists predict major earthquake in Tokyo

January 27. This Tokyo during the earthquake. The city lights go out here and start fires. The city practically in ruins, numerous traffic jams on the roads, some cars on fire.

Now it's all just a fantasy computer graphics and computer designers.

However, academics Earthquake Research Institute at Tokyo University, said that in the next 4 years with a probability of 70% in the Japanese capital can happen earthquake of magnitude 7 points.

According to studies, 11 million people could die and about 850,000 buildings can be destroyed.

Shinichi Sakai, one of the participants in the study: "Last summer, when we conducted calculations, the tectonic activity exceeded the norm by 6-7 times. At the time we came to the conclusion that an earthquake could occur with a probability of 98% over the next 30 years, and in the next 4 years, it can occur with a probability of 70%. "

In March of last year in Japan, an earthquake of magnitude 9 points. This was followed by a tsunami. The disaster killed 23,000 people.

To prepare for the worst-case scenario, the government decided to turn to history.

This is a statue of the Great Buddha, which is located in the ancient city of Kamakura on the island of Honshu. From here to the sea about 1 kilometer.

Among the archival evidence of a tsunami can be found evidence that more than five centuries ago, a huge wave height of 14 meters covered coast, reaching the statue.

Toshiaki Kawasaki, tsunami planning department: "We thought that we should know the unknown with regard to the tsunami, so we looked at the history of earthquakes that have not previously taken into account. There are records that show that the earthquake in 1498 created a tsunami that reached the Great Buddha in Kamakura. We decided that this tsunami must also be taken into account in the planning. "

Japan is located within the so-called fire ring Pacific. It happens 20% of the world's earthquakes of magnitude 6 points and above.

Predictions of many Japanese scientists are not surprising.

A resident of Tokyo: "Japan — a nation that has grown up on earthquakes. I do not know what exactly they do count, but another earthquake will not be a surprise. "

A resident of Tokyo: "It is difficult to describe in words what would happen if an earthquake happens, even to think hard. I was horrified one thought about it. "

Natural disasters in Japan, often accompanied by numerous human victims. So in 1995 in Kobe earthquake of magnitude 7.3 magnitude, which killed 6,400 people.

Source: New Tang Dynasty Television

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