In 2012-2015,. a number of the world’s largest arms exporters significantly change the balance of exports by region

TSAMTO, November 23. In the near term, a number of huge global arms exporters will change significantly the balance of exports by region. Below is a concise analysis of the balance of military exports several states on 10 regions of the world 2012-2015. The material presented here is a short excerpt from a forthcoming TSAMTO Yearbook 2012.

To assess the significance of this or another region in the structure of export arms suppliers in the near-period TSAMTO Yearbook 2012 results of the calculation for each exporting country based on existing backpack purchase orders of military hardware by regions in 2012-2015.

For the period 2012-2015. shipments by region each particular country is calculated on the basis of analysis of existing contracts. The calculation was performed in accordance with the original terms of the criteria treaties defense deliveries, or where this is not available, extrapolation is done on schedule deliveries on similar contracts monotypical technology.

This calculation yields the estimated forecast of share values ​​for each country or of another regional market based on existing backpack orders as of mid-2012, subject to the initially discussed in the contractual obligations delivery dates DID. Due to new contracts with a term in the period under review the implementation of the regional structure balances the arms-exporting countries will change, but slightly, as the bulk of deliveries in the period under review (estimated around 90%) have already signed contracts.

Rating TSAMTO represented 38 states that as of mid-2012 had export orders from the implementation period 2012-2015.

Below as an example presented brief information on four countries: USA, France, Germany and China.

The calculation takes into account the volume of exports of ordinary weapons identified according to systematize the UN Register. Value of calculated from the planned date of arms transfers. Of long-term programs include delivery, which is planned to bring up to 2015 inclusive.

Geography AME U.S. exports in 2012-2015.

In the structure of the South American military exports in 2012-2015,. dramatically increase the fraction of the Near East, which was estimated TSAMTO, 46.85% (56.34 billion dollars) of the total U.S. predictable defense deliveries amounting to 120.256 billion dollars.

For comparison: in 2004-2007. fraction of the Near East in the structure of the U.S. military exports accounted for 40.9% in 2008-2011. — 34.14%.

Almost everything is so sharp increase Near East region in the structure of the U.S. military exports provided naikrupneyshim military contracts in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, as a number of other states in the region.

Shred the Asia-Pacific region in the structure of arms exports in 2012-2015, the United States. nekordinalno will change in the direction of the smallest compared with the previous 4-letnm period and 34.5% (41.495 billion dollars).

For comparison: in 2004-2007. fraction of ATP in the structure of the U.S. military exports amounted to 30.4% in 2008-2011. — 38.85%.

In general, the share of the Near East and Asia-Pacific countries in the structure of military exports in 2012-2015, the United States. have 97.835 billion dollars (81.36%).

For comparison: in 2004-2007. the total fraction of the Near East and Asia-Pacific military balance in U.S. exports totaled 71.36% in 2008-2011. — 73%.

All 4-year period the Middle East and Asia-Pacific countries will be with 2 dominant regions in the overall balance of military U.S. exports.

Given the already signed contracts, also announced plans for the purchase of U.S. arms (subject initially claimed delivery schedules) in 2012, the total fraction of the Near East and the Asia-Pacific region in the overall balance of military exports U.S. of 76.68% (18.99 billion dollars from total amounting to 24.767 billion dollars) in 2013 — 75.84% (18.285 billion dollars in total 24.109 billion dollars) in 2014 — 81.94% (28.5 billion dollars in total 34.783 billion dollars) , in 2015 — 87.6% (32.06 billion dollars in total 36.597 billion dollars). For 2014-2015. accounts for a significant fraction of the initial supply by «megakontraktam» with Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Third place in the structure of the military in U.S. exports over the period 2012-2015,. occupy Western Europe — 11.194 billion dollars (9.31%). For comparison: in 2004-2007. fraction of Western Europe in the overall balance of military U.S. exports totaled 17.06% in 2008-2011. — 16.2%.

4th place will be a region of North America (Canada delivery) — 4.784 billion dollars (3.98%). For comparison: in 2004-2007. fraction of the overall balance of Canada’s military exports amounted to U.S. 3.19% in 2008-2011. — 3.97%.

5th place will be North Africa region — 2.456 billion dollars (2.04%). For comparison: in 2004-2007. fraction of North Africa in the overall balance of military exports amounted to U.S. 0.23% in 2008-2011. — 1.29%.

The following places in the regional balance of military exports to the United States for 2012-2015. occupy South America (including Mexico) — 2.442 billion dollars (in 2004-2007. — 1.351 billion dollars in 2008-2011. — 1.807 billion dollars), Eastern Europe — 751 million dollars (in 2004-2007. — 2.579 billion dollars in 2009-2011. — 1.815 billion dollars), former Soviet Union countries — 63 million dollars (in 2004-2007. — 150 million dollars in 2008-2011. — 54 million dollars), the Central America and the Caribbean — 27.5 million dollars (in 2004-2007. — 7.1 million dollars in 2008-2011. — 12.5 million dollars), Africa (sub-Saharan countries) — 15.4 million dollars (in 2004-2007. — $ 10 million in 2008-2011. — 10.2 million dollars).

AME export geography of France in 2012-2015.

In the regional balance of military exports in 2012-2015, France. grow significantly fraction of the former Soviet Union, first, by the start of the large orders of.

For comparison: in the 2004-2011 group fraction of the former Soviet Union in the overall balance of military exports amounted to 0.7% in France (219 million dollars). In 2012-2015,. fraction of this group in the overall balance of France’s military exports to grow to 12.25% (2.332 billion dollars). Large part of the total planned arms exports to France former Soviet Union countries have on Russia (second naikrupneyshim importer — Kazakhstan). Of long-term programs with Russia and other countries of the former Soviet Union in the calculation only includes delivery, implementation of which is scheduled for 2015. Rollovers this delivery in not used for calculation.

With this volume of the region of the former Soviet Union in general overall balance of military exports to France for 2012-2015. will be released on the 4th place.

In general, the volume of arms exports in 2012-2015, France. (On the basis of the signed contracts and the stated goals) followed TSAMTO evaluates as follows: 5,634,000,000 dollars in 2012, 4.898 billion dollars in 2013, 3.664 billion dollars in 2014 and 4.837 billion dollars in 2015.

As of the middle of 2012 TSAMTO estimates the volume of arms exports in France 2012-2015. in the amount of 19.033 billion dollars (for comparison: in 2008-2011. — 16.759 billion dollars in 2004-2007. — 14.487 billion dollars).

First place in the structure of military exports France over the period 2012-2015. Takes the Asia-Pacific region — USD 5.175 billion (27.2%), second place — Middle East — 5.051 billion dollars (26.54%), third place — a region of South America (including Mexico) — 2.795 billion dollars ( 14.7%).

Place on the 5th and will take on Western Europe (1.435 billion dollars), North Africa (1.196 billion dollars), North America (823 million dollars), Eastern Europe (174 million dollars) and the countries of the African region (sub-Saharan) — 52 million dollars.

Identified agreements with Central America and the Caribbean for delivery in 2012-2015,. in France as of mid-2012 were not available.

Export destinations AME Germany in 2012-2015.

Regionally, in 2012-2015, nuance. Germany will retain a preferred orientation on arms exports to Western Europe, which fraction of the overall balance of exports of military hardware Germany will be almost 33% (5.057 billion dollars).

In general, the volume of arms exports in 2012-2015, Germany. (On the basis of the signed contracts and the stated goals) followed TSAMTO evaluates as follows: 4,786,000,000 dollars in 2012, 4.021 billion dollars in 2013, 2.524 billion dollars in 2014 and 4.098 billion dollars in 2015. Overall predictable deliveries of military hardware in 2012-2015, Germany. As of mid-2012 TSAMTO valued at 15.43 billion dollars (for comparison: in 2009-2011. — 14.477 billion dollars in 2004-2007. — 10.619 billion dollars).

First place in the structure of the military German exports over the period 2012-2015. Takes the region of Western Europe — 5.057 billion dollars (33%), 2nd place — Asia Pacific — 4.92 billion dollars (31.9%), third place — Middle East — 3.932 billion dollars (25.5%) .

The following will take place: South America (including Mexico) — 668 million dollars, North Africa — 325 million dollars, North America — 247 million dollars, former Soviet Union countries — 140 million dollars, Eastern Europe — 104 million dollars, Africa (south Sahara) — 38 million dollars.

AME export geography of China in the period 2012-2015.

Shred Pakistan in the overall balance of military exports DID China will increase significantly. Due to the increased bit of Pakistan in the overall balance of exports of defense products in China will grow as fraction of the Asia-Pacific region as a whole and will be in 2012-2015,. 63.9% (3.64 billion dollars).

As of mid-2012 from 10 regions of the world, China had orders to supply weapons in 2012-2015. 5 regions (2004-2011. customers Chinese weapons were also countries from 5 regions).

The volume of deliveries in 2012-2015, China. in South America (including Mexico) as of mid-2012 is projected at 1.254 billion dollars, the North African countries — 333 million dollars in Africa (sub-Saharan) — 280 million dollars in the country Near East — 36 million.

In general, the volume of arms exports in 2012-2015, China. predicted subsequent way: 1,994,000,000 dollars in 2012, 1.508 billion dollars in 2013, 1.123 billion dollars in 2014, 1.069 billion dollars in 2015 and 5.694 billion dollars for the 4-year period.

Absolutely tabular statistics for 38 countries of the world are presented in the forthcoming publication TSAMTO Yearbook 2012.
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