Libya defeated. Whos next?

Libya defeated.  Who's next?

Very relevant to the issue today. With Libya over. Afghanistan abandoned for uselessness. What's next?

We can say with confidence that the Libyan opposition to open the front lines — Gaddafi's troops against the rebels (supported by the West and NATO allied Arab countries), was completed. Now there will be strife go local — between different rebel factions (Benghazi, Misurata, Islamists, etc.), the Libyan tribes for a place under the sun.

The question arises, who will become the next victim of the "modernization" of the Islamic world? The most obvious candidate is as the Syrian Arab Republic (UAR). Although there are other candidates for the role of the victim — Algeria, North Sudan, Yemen, Iran, Pakistan, etc.


It was in Hong unrest that began in March 2011, led to hundreds of deaths and injuries. Damascus in the Western media and politicians is extremely irritating. Assad's regime has not made mistakes Gaddafi and quickly manages to crush the uprising in the border towns in the bud to prevent the possibility of creating a rebellious springboard like Benghazi in Libya, a country that will break.

But now, after the war in Libya (escalating it to the stage of internal Libyan conflict), the West and its Arab allies can increase pressure on the ATS. Syrian opposition with great joy by the news of the death of Muammar Gaddafi. On anti-government protests, which took place on October 21 in the cities of Hama and Homs (the most stable center of resistance to the Assad regime), opposition activists carried banners with slogans about "Doctor, you're next!" (Assad Education ophthalmologist), " Gaddafi is ready, it's your turn, Bashar! "," Assad, get ready! ". The rallies were dispersed.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon again urged Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to stop the violence and "massacre" in Syria. In addition, the United States withdrew its ambassador from Hong Robert Ford. The U.S. State Department explained that this is the solution for security reasons the ambassador, his last months several attempts to throw tomatoes and rotten eggs.

Earlier, the Syrian authorities have repeatedly raised questions in the activities of the American ambassador in the country. Diplomat who used his diplomatic immunity and the ability to navigate through Syria, without limitation, visited various cities of the country, who were swept by unrest, such as Deraa and Homs. This caused a backlash of Damascus, who suspected foreign diplomats to help the opposition and tried to impose a ban on the movement of Robert Ford to Syria without the consent of the leadership of the country. These attempts have failed, as they violate the rights of the diplomatic face.


In Yemen, the situation is also very tense excitement that began in early 2011 has led to hundreds of victims and the outbreak of civil war. Part of the army supported the opposition demands the resignation of Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh. And he expressed his willingness to step down only in the event of peace in the country, the termination of the opposition.

October 21 UN Security Council adopted a resolution calling on Yemeni President to lay down their powers. For "Yemeni" resolution unanimously, all 15 member UN Security Council. According to Russian Permanent Representative to the UN, Vitaly Churkin, the resolution on Yemen is "a balanced, non-confrontational to all Yemeni parties." Opposing party as soon as possible to stop the violence and to negotiate on the basis of the initiative of the Cooperation Council of Arab States of the Gulf (GCC).

According to the plan must occur GCC peaceful transfer of power after the elimination of all contradictions. This agreement gives the president of Yemen and his associates immunity from legal prosecution after retirement.

October 24 according to Reuters, Saleh agreed to give up power under the UN Security Council. He expressed the willingness to sit down with representatives of the Yemeni opposition as soon as possible to sign the plan of the Cooperation Council of Arab Gulf States and to hold early elections in the country.
If Saleh again refused at the last moment of the agreement, this reason can be used for external intervention.

Northern Sudan

After the separation of a united Sudan into two states, peace did not come. Khartoum was deprived of the oil regions. Does not address the issue of the disputed oil-rich province of Abyei. North Sudan army to fight captured the area. Regime of Omar Hassan al-Bashir is an almost ideal target for foreign intervention. And in full compliance with international law.

At the beginning of July 2011 and was immediately calmed down, the information that North Sudan army occupied the Libyan oasis of Kufra, and took control of the city of Al-Jawf and the highway to the center of oilfields Sarir and Misla. Meanwhile, an oasis of Kufra and Al Jawf are of Sudanese-Libyan border a few hundred kilometers. Neither the Western world or the UN Security Council failed to respond to this is an obvious act of foreign aggression.

It is clear that without the tacit permission of the West, who was at this time in Libya military campaign alone on such an action would not go Khartoum. Apparently, al-Bashir has received the consent of the key players in the region.

Thus, at any moment, the world can "discover" the occupation of northern Sudan Libyan territory and to urge Khartoum to account. Also in the press has repeatedly passed reports of allegations of genocide in Darfur, which also can be used to justify a "bloody" regime of Omar al-Bashir. Not to forget the fact that al-Bashir is "hanging" international order. More July 21, 2008 The International Criminal Court in The Hague issued an arrest warrant for President then united Sudan on charges of genocide in connection with the conflict in Darfur (the so-called three western regions of the country, where there were clashes Arab and Negroid population). States that in the Darfur ethnic cleansing and genocide of the population. So, Omar al-Bashir became the first serving head of state, against which agency International Justice filed charges.

West always does just that in his favor. Today the Western world closed its eyes to the fact of aggression and occupation, but tomorrow it could forget about tacit agreement with Khartoum and strike at the Northern Sudan.



This country is also suited to the role of the victim, especially in light of the actions of the Algerian authorities in the Libyan war. Algeria won in this war position of friendly neutrality to the Gaddafi regime.
This caused a lot already injure feedback from PNS. And here is a new post on the subject: Algerian authorities have made a statement that they do not intend to give the family of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's Libya, the new authorities. Algeria also would not discuss the issue of relatives of the former head of Libya with anyone else other than the United Nations.

Algerian authorities have reported that relatives of Gaddafi were taken in the State for reasons of humanity and the situation around them has changed. The brutal killing of Gaddafi only further convinces Algeria that Gaddafi family and took refuge in the country of his wife, daughter and her newborn child and the children of Muhammad and Hanibal, should be protected by the Algerian authorities.

Earlier, the rebels have repeatedly demanded the extradition Gaddafi relatives who live in Algiers on 29 August 2011.

Apparently, the information announced back in 2007, the former supreme commander of the armed forces of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation in Europe, U.S. General Wesley Clark was true. In the broadcast Voice of America, he said that over the next five years, we dismantle seven countries. Start with Iraq. Then we have plans to Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan. And end up in Iran. "

As a result, Iraq de facto divided into a land of Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds, Sudan is split into two parts, in Somalia, several government entities, Libya plunged into a confrontation of different tribes and factions. Set the stage for the attack on Syria and Iran.

Author Alexander Samsonov


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