Other than that posted in the IAEA report states that even if the inspectors of the organization will be admitted to the Iranian military complex at Parchin, it will be difficult to establish whether there were there working to develop nuclear weapons, because there has already been carried out "cleansing." When using disk imaging, acquired from the satellite, spices learned that from this complex was removed a significant amount of equipment and the terrain of the complex was demolished a number of objects.
At the current time, many Western countries accuse Tehran of works on creation of the atomic bomb. With all of this the government of Iran denies this information, stating that the enriched uranium used by the state only for peaceful purposes to generate electricity. Also enriched to 20% uranium will be used for the production of isotopes that are necessary for the healing of cancer. The quantity of this material in areas of Iran have already headed for 190 kg. According to the professionals, in order to bring 20% of the uranium to weapons-grade properties can take several months.
The Iranian nuclear programm
Nuclear developments in Iran in one degree or another has been going on for more than 40 years. Ever since 1967, when the Shah Iran Mohammad Reza Pahlavi was the U.S. first nuclear reactor with a capacity of 5 megawatts. While technological assistance to Tehran also provided Germany and France. In 1974, Iran bought another 4 reactors in France and Germany, and in 1975 another 4 reactors in Germany. At the same time, Germany has started the construction of two blocks of the nuclear power plant located in Bushehr. Work on the creation of the nuclear power plant occurred in the country prevented the Islamic revolution. In 1992, between Iran and Russia signed an agreement on cooperation in the peaceful implementation of nuclear energy, and in 1995, Moscow and Tehran signed a contract for completion of the construction of the first nuclear power plant at Bushehr. The construction of the nuclear plant began in 1998.
At first the new millennium concern about Iran's nuclear development were of the United States. In 2002, George W. Bush took Iran to the so-called "axis of evil", in other words, to those countries that sponsor terrorist groups also are working to create weapons of mass destruction. In late 2003, an agreement was reached by which experts at the IAEA shall have the right to inspect nuclear facilities of Iran are on the ground. With all this the agreement was not ratified by the Parliament, for this reason, often Tehran refuses to allow international professionals in the area of their own nuclear facilities.
In 2004, there has been a regular exacerbation, which was caused by a message on the Pakistani side of the transfer of technology to Tehran's uranium enrichment. At that time, Iran has stated that the refusal to admit observers to the IAEA of its nuclear facilities. Thanks to the mediation efforts of the Russian Federation, France and Britain failed to persuade Iran to sign an agreement in which he pledged to use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.
In 2005, the authorities in the country came Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, for all that Iran's nuclear programm has received a new impetus to development. Work was resumed research center, located in Isfahan. In 2009, Iran brought into orbit its own artificial Earth satellite "Omid", in connection with which the United States, as the triad, which included our homeland, England and France, again expressed concern about possible nuclear programs of Iran and abilities of their implementation for military purposes. Meanwhile, Tehran has continued to test missiles, also said work on the system at the second plant to enrich uranium. Since 2010, Iran began enriching uranium to 20% of the state of the plant in Natanz.
On January 1, 2012, on disk imaging Institute for Science and International Security, Iran had 4,922 kg. low-enriched uranium hexafluoride — in case of enrichment of uranium to weapons-quantity should be enough for 4 units of nuclear warheads. Also in 2012, the IAEA issued a report in which it was reported that Iran had been working on the development of nuclear weapons. Since then, tensions over Iran's nuclear programs from subsides. In February 2012, Iran said on successful activities under the Nuclear applets. In response to these statements, a number of states claimed tougher sanctions against Tehran. In March of the same year, Israel began to open a discussion about the option of a missile strike on Iran, because, in the words of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Iran and its nuclear programm threaten not only the security of Israel, and the region as a whole.
In May 2012, the United States, Japan and South Korea have increased pressure on Tehran, also on North Korea, which is also suspected of hidden research work aimed at producing nuclear weapons. With all of this our homeland has officially announced it will not allow the power to resolve the Iranian nuclear problem of the U.S., but the situation around this prepyadstviya increasingly heating up. With all this as a justified fear of representatives of the world community about the likely direction of the Iranian military nuclear research question is still open.
How unsafe Iranian development?
At the current time, the greatest concern about Iran's nuclear program shows Israel, because this country is in the vicinity of a particular Iran and Ahmadinejad at times threatens to wipe Israel off the face of the earth. In February 2012, the Israeli edition of The Jerusalem Post published the words of the head of Israeli military intelligence Aviv Kochavi, the fact that Iran is on the ground enough enriched uranium for 4 nuclear bombs. According to Kochavi, for the creation of the nuclear weapons should only receive a willful decision of the supreme spiritual favorite, Ali Khamenei. Kochavi also accused Iran of seeking to dominate the region.
In a speech Kochavi has its own logic, because according to him Tehran has about 200 thousand missiles, which are focused on Israel. At the end of August 2012 freshly baked French President Francois Hollande also spoke about Iran's nuclear programm can be a real danger for the region and called for the country to fulfill international obligations. At the current time against Iran has various international sanctions priemuschestvenno from the U.S., EU countries, Canada, Australia and the land of the rising sun. According to the views of Benny Ganttsa being chief of staff of the armed forces of Israel, those sanctions already bearing fruit. Gantts believes that Iran so far not reached a final of views on whether there should be their country's nuclear bomb. It may be that the best people that are part of th
e Government of the Islamic Republic, just do not allow such developments.
Either way, Israel has plans for a military solution to the Iranian problem, which does not even like the United States. South American administration through its own European mediators informed to control Iran's information that will not provide assistance to Israel in the event of the latter's decision to storm the Iran report "Yediot Ahronot". According to a hosted disk imaging, the U.S. promised to stay away from the likely conflict between states, if Tehran does not dare to strike back, "against U.S. interests in the region."
The list includes those interests first South American military facilities, aircraft and warships. Iran has also previously been warned about the likely consequences in cases of samples to block the Strait of Hormuz, through which market goes up? all the world's oil supplies. At the current time, Israel and the United States still can not come to the same beliefs as to how to solve the problem of Iran's nuclear applets. With all of this Israel holds more constructive and assertive position. And it is Israel that reaches order to Washington has threatened Iran with war if he did not finish its nuclear programs from. But sources in the U.S. administration, believe that Tel Aviv wants to drag their country into a completely unnecessary war America. Any armed conflict, particularly in advance of the November elections, the president does not come within the scope of U.S. interests.
As soon Iran will have a bomb?
August 24 at the Vienna talks were held between representatives of Iran and the IAEA, which ended without merit some positive results. According to the director of international organizations Herman Nekertsa, the parties there are plenty of differences that are the obstacle to the merits of the agreements on the Iranian nuclear program there.
Back in May of this year, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Davan read that Iran will keep enriching uranium to the right for the needs of the Islamic Republic of amounts, regardless of any protests from the international mediators. According to the latest disk imaging, the pace of this work evenly built up. There is also information that has previously apply for one of the Iranian nuclear facilities spices IAEA was found uranium, enriched to 27%, which is contrary to official statements of Tehran that the level of enriched uranium does not exceed 20%.
With all of this in July 2012, Ayatollah Khamenei said that if the international pressure on Iran is terminated, the level of enrichment of uranium in the country will reach 56%. So Makar, Israel's military intelligence and the IAEA indicate that Tehran appears to have the right amount of uranium for its nuclear bomb and the amount of it will only grow. Perhaps Iran is now on the threshold of the creation of its own nuclear weapons, but will accept a favorite of the Islamic Republic of its decision on production is not yet clear.
Sources disk imaging: