Military Analyst Addison Wiggin considers, that this very gloomy theme related to the realization of Washington's usual fact that China is simply sells its version of the "Monroe Doctrine." Journalist recalls that followed marked the doctrine looks as follows: President James Monroe in 1823, the European powers put on notice that if they interfere in any whatsoever South American affairs, the United States put an end to it. The declaration of 1823 was directed against the colonization of parts of the upcoming American country European countries. At the same time, Mr. Monroe seemed to recognize South American rights to subsequent self-expansion. Monroe Plan emphasizes journalist, was to keep the Europeans at a distance — by the ability to far.
As for expansion, it has spread since 1823 is not far away only to run wild West. Americans have long felt at home in the Pacific. Here in the U.S. there are more than 320,000 military personnel, including 60% of the fleet. It is reported by Conn Hellinen, an analyst «Foreign Policy». It shows that South American flags fluttering on the database in the Land of the Rising Sun, the Philippines, South Korea, Malaysia, Thailand, the Marshall Islands, Guam and Wake Island. The U.S. Navy often occurs near the coast of China, with the most-most border of international waters.
Logically, writes Addison Wiggin, the Chinese behold the favorites that their "surround".
Chas Freeman, a veteran of American diplomacy, who was President Nixon's interpreter during his visit to the "red" to China in 1972, writes:
The Chinese are now saying its rule over the disputed Senkaku Islands. "China sees the island as part of their defensive perimeter" — explains Hellinen.
China has commissioned its own first aircraft carrier, reminiscent Wiggin. He develops a program from a stealth fighter J-20. China has increased its defense spending by double-digit percentages each year over the last decade (in general, the military budget as before Beijing is one-fifth of the corresponding expenditure Washington).
Reasonable U.S. reaction to all of this, the journalist continues, could speak about such makarom:
But instead of this, says the creator of articles, the U.S. government increases its efforts — and all the more deeply immersed.
Hillary Clinton, one of the important tasks of the "American state over the next decade," sees a "substantial increase in investment — diplomatic, economic, strategic, and others in the Asia-Pacific region." In military circles it is not called by another as a "core" modern American politics. "Rod" that began to take shape with the placement of the Obama administration's 2500 American soldier on the northern coast of Australia. Military U.S. industry has responded positively to it — and let the start salivating.
In 2012, the Aerospace Industries Association has published its own one-year forecast of the industry. It turned out that the U.S. can "increment" sales of aircraft, missile defense systems and other expensive weapons. China and North Korea will serve those regional "sources of threats" from which to "dance" the South American country's concern about "security." Vice-President of the organization betrothed, Fred Downey, encouraging announced that the "core" will lead to the rise and rise of new powers for the growth of American industry. Military orders of U.S. allies in Asia offset the slowdown caused by the crisis at the "peace-lovers" from Europe. Already in the past financial year sales agreements with countries under the auspices of the U.S. Pacific Command showed growth in the amounts of supply by 5.4% (to 13.7 billion. Dollars).
Further — more.
Media at times fueled publications entitled "Cold War" and the possible armed confrontation between China and the United States. But now, at the end of January 2013, the topic of the media moved to the statements of American politicians. Barack Obama has openly referred to China's "rival" and instructed professionals to study the degree of nuclear threats from Beijing. In addition, the United States began to redeploy its fleet in the Asia Pacific region.
Prerequisites confrontation analysts Love Lyulko and Natalia Tit behold the not only in the politics of China, and in the economy. China almost comes on the tail of America. The Celestial Empire — the only country in the world capable of in the coming years to throw behind the U.S. in terms of GDP (estimated by some professionals, it will happen in eight years). The United States is facing a recession, the highest level of unemployment and the danger of "default." China, by contrast, is growing inexorably, artificially keeping the yuan little to boost domestic production and exports (which, we note, it is reasonable for the export of the country). In addition, in recent years, which does not have lurking for Washington, Beijing South American bucks intensively deduced from its own cash reserves and invest them in gold, raw materials and the euro. The trend is clear: China is no longer willing to lend to the United States.
In Washington, sounded the alarm. First, they decided to influence the Middle Kingdom through the mediation of international institutions. Barack Obama signed into action in the WTO, accusing the Chinese government is that it provides subsidies to Chinese auto companies. In addition, the South American legislators practically recognized China currency manipulator in the yuan-dollar pair. In response, the U.S. imposed trade tariffs on 20 Chinese products.
But all this is somehow small. And it is true: no such amendments like "the Jackson — Vanik amendment" is not visible on the horizon. Why? And as the U.S. dependence on China's economy is so high that by imposing such sanctions the United States to kill their industry, which in the current working … in China.
At the same time the two great powers prevents live peacefully difference in political systems: communism, collectivism vs. liberal America with its geopolitical instructive tone. A
dditionally political affairs soured after the January 2012 newest U.S. military doctrine, according to which the main area of the U.S. military presence was the Asia-Pacific region.
In the end, things worsened between China and Japan over the territorial claims of the island, which may lead the U.S. to a hard decision — to join or not to join military conflict on the side of his ally.
The same can be said of the Philippines, to which the U.S. has a mutual defense agreement. China is flexing its muscles by staging military exercises in the Asia-Pacific region (including with Russia), arranges a cyber attack against the United States. The Chinese are taking to the streets with unparalleled anti-Japanese protests. In response, Americans spend their teachings are trying to play the role of a judge in the maritime disputes between China and its neighbors come to an agreement on the development of ballistic missiles with South Korea, make a military base in Australia, and so on and so forth
What does it lead?
The situation is aggravated by day or a day of general relativity, and the United States have already begun to examine possible scenarios of war with China — and even nuclear conflict.
January 2, 2013 Barack Obama signed into law the modern concept of national security, where the United States Strategic Command (STRATCOM) is ordered in the period up to 15 August a report on "the underground network of tunnels in China and the United States' ability to use everyday and nuclear forces to neutralize and defeat these tunnels and their contents ".
Project Director nuclear disk imaging of the Federation of American Scientists, Hans Kristensen said that the lack of transparency as to the intentions of both countries, increasing the risk of war between China and the United States. In his view, the two countries' dancing terrible dance that increasing military tension and could lead to a small war in the Pacific. "
Ian Bremmer south american political scientist and president of «Eurasia Group», said in an interview with the magazine "Time" that today's strategic affairs between the two countries-name very similar to the "cold war."
According to him, the ideology of the United States has not changed, though it is not as strong as before. Its main provisions: personal freedom, democracy, free enterprise. In recent years, these ideological "points" very affected by the financial crisis and human rights violations in jail Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib, also intrigued by the big companies in the election results. An old universities, like G20, from this moment do not work. Bremmer admits that the country is ill-prepared for the challenges of the "cold war."
Catherine Kudashkin ("Voice of Russia") Interviewed a linguist and philosopher Noam Chomsky. Among the rest, and we were talking about possible war between the United States and China. Mr. Chomsky gave gloomy outlook on the subject:
First front in the war with the Chinese, the United States have already opened: Sergey Smirnov writes ("Gazeta.ru,"), Referring to the "Washington Post", the Pentagon plans to significantly increment the number of units of its own cyber security: from 900 to 4,900 employees. Cyber Command will deal with the protection of networks responsible for energy and infrastructure, the United States, for the defense of the Pentagon's Web site. Also special group will be able to storm the possible opponents in cyberspace. Among the fiercest opponents named China, Iran, Our homeland and terrorist organizations. For China and Iran plan to fix the special teams.
Perhaps a similar kiberaktivizatsiya in the U.S. due to the fact that the Chinese military in the summer of 2011 declared the era of network warfare, which, in their view, the U.S. government began — a good example here are the color revolutions in the Arab countries. Chinese military educators E Zheng and Zhao Baosin in an article in the newspaper «China Youth Daily» wrote that the events in the Middle East were the Americans, who used new technology on the Web. From there, the beginning of the term and took «Twitter-revolution."
So Makarov, "sequester" the Pentagon's budget, which implies a reduction of $ 500 billion. U.S. military spending (for 10 years, in 2013 — 50 billion. dollars) — this is one side of the coin. The other — the possible growth of the industry and, consequently, the U.S. economy during the war itself, not the United States with China, but the danger of such war. Arms build-up (and what made the strategic reorientation of the Pentagon's Asia-Pacific), accompanied by Defense Cooperation with Eastern allies, enemies of China may raise South American sluggish economy. You must wait for subsequent statements of Obama and the State Department of the Chinese danger, maintaining the combat readiness of the Navy, "strategic interests" in the Asia-Pacific region and to a similar, run counter to the plans of Chinese "Monroe." With regard to the war with China, even nuclear, the newspaper analysts, also quoted analysts, this will fertilize the soil more fertile years and years. The military-industrial lobby object to them under any circumstances will not.
— Especially for topwar.ru