What is the future of Iraq?

Despite all the assurances that the United States will soon withdraw their troops with the Iraqi countryside, the Pentagon is increasingly expressed doubts about the need for such action. He is not sure also that the Iraqi government will be able to maintain order in the country and pay tribute to a way to counter extremist groups. Some South American politicians are convinced that army Iraq is not ready for his own self-defense.

This is evidenced by nedavneshnee attempt on Qasim Fahdavi committed during his trip to Baghdad. And although the governor was not injured, but three of his guards were wounded. Soon Fahdavi said that, unlike in previous attacks by al-Qaeda, this was done by his former allies who do not wish the best for the future of Iraq.

This incident is a direct confirmation that the ruthless and bloody war that tore Iraq a couple of years back, could happen again. Exclusively in this time without the cost of U.S. troops that could be of great help.

Prior to Barack Obama's statement on the withdrawal of Iraqi troops from the territory of the country the U.S. Defense Department was planning to quit in the Iraqi countryside 15 thousand soldiers, which would be responsible for the upcoming training Iraqi fighter, providing air defense, and maintenance of the material and technical base of the Iraqi army.

And Stuart Bowen said he was convinced that Iraq has enormous problems with air and border defense, the supply system is imperfect and will face difficulties in the defense of the country in the event of the withdrawal of U.S. troops. He also said that the Iraqi government inevitably will face the problem of substitution patterns of the American system security, intelligence and defense their similar structures.

According to Bowen, the South American coaches have gained great success in the preparation of experts for the Army Iraq, but the management of the logistics component is one of the more vulnerable position of Iraqi security forces.

The representative of the Council of National Security Tommy Vitor said that training of the Iraqi army still has some deficiencies, and also the fact that in the South American government remains fairly large number of supporters of the continuation of the American mission in Iraq after the end of 2011. And almost a month back Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki announced the start of negotiations between the U.S. and Iraq about training the Iraqi army after the end of the year.

But the presence of American troops is necessary not only to protect the country from external Iraqi opponents. Now the country is quite tensed religious situation. A favorite of the country, replaced in order to facilitate the resolution of religious conflicts, on the contrary, they are trying to ignite. At least, evidenced by their actions. For the near future, the country received more and more measures against the Baathists. After the overthrow of Hussein's regime, members of the Baath has become much smaller, but they are not lost, and moved into the adjoining country. But the main part of them remained in Iraq. Last week was marked by a huge number of arrests Baathists (Sunnis). And since most of the Iraqi government — the Shiites, that such acts more like an all-out witch hunt.

In addition, in this inter-religious conflict can simply enter Saudi Arabia and Iran. This is evidenced by some signs of preparing 2-regional heavyweights to armed clashes in the Iraqi countryside after the withdrawal of U.S. troops.

It is clear that in the case of fomenting the conflict that little piece of American troops who remain in Iraq, will fall on the line. A month back one of the representatives of the clergy ab Muqtada Sadr made a dramatic statement that the Americans — it's occupants with which to beat. These are not empty words, the threat is real, it is necessary to recall the bloody attacks on American fighter Mahdi Army.

Also ab-Sadr and his followers supported the al-Maliki government in its arrests of Sunnis that, in turn, provoked a sharp retort enough of the latter. Sunni favorites call for the establishment of the autonomous region consisting of Sallahadina, Anbar and Nineveh. Of course, the Iraqi government did not like it, it accused the Sunnis of trying to weaken the power of the center.

But if all the same this autonomous region is created, it will almost religious schism inside the country. Then nothing will prevent Iranian Shiites and Sunnis Arabian strongly support "their" on the ground in Iraq. And one of the Iraqi officials even said that beheld documents which clearly point to the beginning of financing Iraq's Sunni Saudi Arabia.

You should not talk about the fact that even the smallest attempt Arabia to strengthen its position does not manage to arrange Iran government which has a vast connection with the Iraqi government and the favorites of the militants.

Analysts say that Washington had a chance to keep Iranian influence, but he was very busy looking out, and as a result — the dependence of the government of al-Maliki from Iran. And it's more like not to support, and at the beginning of the second Iraqi occupation of the country.

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