Wind — to revolution and suicide

Several years ago, Andreas Lomayer leading criminologist Hamburg, working with archival legislation, came across a remarkable document. This was the so-called Lex Frisionum («Code of the Frisians") — a set of laws veka VIII, which referred to a direct link with the air temperature offenses.


Climate — in the first place

Lomayer — people are not superstitious. At first it seemed that it smacks of, as they say, in the early Middle Ages ignorant. But loving all reach essentially criminologist decided to check unexpected version. It turned out that as many centuries later, namely in 1748-m, and said the French philosopher Charles Louis de Montesquieu Secondat. And he bluntly stated, wind provokes a rise in suicides and promotes revolutions. For this reason, the philosopher was a bill that was perceived in society is ambiguous.
Lomayera drew attention aphorism of Montesquieu: "Many things can control people: climate, religion, laws, and principles of government, examples of the past, customs, habits, and as a result of all of this is formed a general spirit of the people." In this environment come first. By chance?
Contemporary of Montesquieu — Marie Francois Arouet Voltaire — indicated that it was due to weather-related resignation of two British rulers. He spoke about did incredible things. For example, would not have been beheaded Charles I and the deposed James II Stuart, if not a "bad influence" of the east wind …

The warmer, more dangerous

French philosopher Charles Louis de Montesquieu Secondat argued that wind contributes revolutions
French philosopher Charles Louis de Montesquieu Secondat argued that wind contributes revolutions

All this can be taken for fantasy, if at the end of XIX century founders forensic not come all by itself, without reading the philosophical writings of Montesquieu and Voltaire, to the same conclusion: the weather is not only our mood.
Italian professor, who is also a prison psychiatrist Cesare Lombroso in his "anarchists", studied 939 revolutions and uprisings that have occurred in Europe and America during the Antiquity and the Middle Ages, proved that there is a clear summer maximum. American forensic psychiatrist Gustav Aschaffenburg developed theme. He found that in 1913, especially a lot of indecent assault and sexual assault is in July. From studying Lomayerom works, which he previously had no idea the police began a new life in Hamburg.

Rain — expect an attack on a bank

— Andreas what to expect today?
— Wind northwest. Rain.

This means that we must wait for an attack on the bank. Presumably the afternoon. But will have to be on guard now. Dinner does not have to. So please pre sandwiches and coffee. Sorry, that's all I can say.
This unusual weather does not sound at the next end of "Battle of psychics," and in a respectable institution — the federal police office in Hamburg. Degree criminal life is directly dependent on the weather. This Lomayer Andreas told reporters at a briefing held after the Hamburg International Congress on extreme weather:

— The fact that the direction of the wind, cloudiness, humidity and temperature affect certain crimes, they knew before. Just follow the medieval well forgotten.

Weather today for pickpockets …

Andreas Lomayer decided to compile a summary of criminogenic conditions. He gathered extensive information about the weather, and compared with the Bank of statistics police. In his possession were 200 weather variables by hour for the last twenty plus years of data from 36 million 175 thousand police reports. To master the mountain of facts, it would take many years. It was therefore selected a relatively small proportion — two million records, which had the most-more pronounced characteristic features for certain types of offenses. We found out that, as the song says, "There is no bad weather, each weather — grace." Only here for a safecracker it alone, for pickpockets — the other, for the killers — the third …
Discovered the so-called all-weather offense. For example, robbery, car theft, fraud, and sale of drugs in any way with the wind direction and air temperature are not related. Well, every rule has its exceptions. There are even some weather conditions that allow for the accumulation of aggression potential criminals — it ends of atrocities. Overall, however, the rule: the warmer, the more likely criminal activity.

It is time to make a tutorial

Andreas Lomayer leading criminologist Hamburg
French philosopher Charles Louis de Montesquieu Secondat argued that wind contributes revolutions

All this can be taken for fantasy, if at the end of XIX century founders forensic not come all by itself, without reading the philosophical writings of Montesquieu and Voltaire, to the same conclusion: the weather is not only our mood.
Italian professor, who is also a prison psychiatrist Cesare Lombroso in his "anarchists", studied 939 revolutions and uprisings that have occurred in Europe and America during the Antiquity and the Middle Ages, proved that there is a clear summer maximum. American forensic psychiatrist Gustav Aschaffenburg developed theme. He found that in 1913, especially a lot of indecent assault and sexual assault is in July. From studying Lomayerom works, which he previously had no idea the police began a new life in Hamburg.

Rain — expect an attack on a bank

— Andreas what to expect today?
— Wind northwest. Rain.

This means that we must wait for an attack on the bank. Presumably the afternoon. But will have to be on guard now. Dinner does not have to. So please pre sandwiches and coffee. Sorry, that's all I can say.
This unusual weather does not sound at the next end of "Battle of psychics," and in a respectable institution — the federal police office in Hamburg. Degree criminal life is directly dependent on the weather. This Lomayer Andreas told reporters at a briefing held after the Hamburg International Congress on extreme weather:

— The fact that the direction of the wind, cloudiness, humidity and temperature affect certain crimes, they knew before. Just follow the medieval well forgotten.

Weather today for pickpockets …

Andreas Lomayer decided to compile a summary of criminogenic conditions. He gathered extensive information about the weather, and compared with the Bank of statistics police. In his possession were 200 weather variables by hour for the last twenty plus years of data from 36 million 175 thousand police reports. To master the mountain of facts, it would take many years. It was therefore selected a relatively small proportion — two million records, which had the most-more pronounced characteristic features for certain types of offenses. We found out that, as the song says, "There is no bad weather, each weather — grace." Only here for a safecracker it alone, for pickpockets — the other, for the killers — the third …
Discovered the so-called all-weather offense. For example, robbery, car theft, fraud, and sale of drugs in any way with the wind direction and air temperature are not related. Well, every rule has its exceptions. There are even some weather conditions that allow for the accumulation of aggression potential criminals — it ends of atrocities. Overall, however, the rule: the warmer, the more likely criminal activity.

It is time to make a tutorial

Andreas Lomayer leading criminologist Hamburg
Andreas Lomayer leading criminologist Hamburg

Methodology used Lomayer, of course, not new. He notes at the outset that it is not a pioneer in the forecasts. Have Andreas and colleagues from the foreign counterparts. Just as Lomayer, the federal police in Memphis (Tennessee). Using computer modeling and technology IBM Software Blue Crush, U.S. police are successfully forecast the crime situation. So we compute the degree of probability (even with location), theft, gang warfare, drug trafficking and other crimes.

— However, colleagues involve not only weather, but a broader base of data, including economic indicators, information on public events — games and concerts, which, of course, to determine exactly degree of criminality — says Lomayer. — There are also results. Since 2005 — the introduction of Memphis named the software — the crime rate dropped by 30 percent. The rates are very convincing.
Saturday's warm August evening in Hamburg can please only residents and visitors alike. For Lomayera and his colleagues, this means the average 82 acts of cruelty. Quite different — the impenetrable dusk in March, when, despite the chilly, you can expect only 51 such an act. Too much, of course. However, the difference is palpable. Women should be wary of attacks horny types mainly in the warmer months. And thieves are usually warmer and darker when — a crime of this nature obviously are down nearly the days get shorter and colder. It should fall off the snow — all over the city one day soon be typed over six robberies.

— You, sir Lomayer, fit to write a manual "Criminal meteorology."
— Well, that meteorologists may sound insulting. Rather the opposite: "Weather forensics." And that, perhaps, to actually try …

Tamara KISELYOVA

Category: The prophecies and predictions, visions and hypotheses

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