Stanislav Tarasov: Who and what now threatens Turkey

Stanislav Tarasov: Who and what is now threatened by TurkeyAnkara is going to ask NATO position in Turkey Patriot missiles because of heightened tensions on the Turkish-Syrian border. This information was published by the newspaper Hurriyet citing a senior Turkish diplomatic source. In his own words, "the plan includes the deployment of missile defense systems in Turkey." This message would swiftly responded, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen. He said that NATO did not get the appeal of Turkey to place missiles on the border with Syria. At the same time sounded and some clarification: "The Alliance has plans to protect Turkey against potential threats. "

Information "leaked" in the Turkish media, organized by "certain forces" and the response to them by NATO resemble virtual "play" with the address meaning. It's one thing when Turkey participates in the American system of global missile defense system, which was agreed at the NATO summit in Lisbon on 19-20 November 2010. With all of this project is to deploy parts of the missile defense area Turkey motivated by the opposition as a "nuclear threat from Iran," although previously Turkey opposed any definite indication of the country as a "source of danger." This position is explicitly stated as a prime condition for approval of the parts of missile defense. Now, as a "danger" referred to Syria. Then, as not so long ago, many Turkish and Western media have extensively discussed the issue of a possible invasion of the Turkish army in the area Syria, and not the opposite. The only country, Ankara warned that it is ready to launch a military strike on NATO facilities in Turkey, but only if the area of the country with the military intervention in Syria, was Iran. As can be seen, talking about Syria, as a possible danger, Turkey has in mind all the same Iran. And this at a time when Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan offered to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to make a tripartite committee — Turkey-Russia-Iran — "the purpose of which will be settlement Syrian issue. "Have you ever had it?

The fact that a visit to Cairo, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, the outcome of his talks with the special envoy of the UN and the Arab League on Syria, Lakhdar Brahimi, open the "corridor of capacity" for the Syrian settlement. In 1-x, an agreement was reached with the Arab League to form a common forum for cooperation, and hold in Moscow before the end of 2012 its first ministerial meeting of the foreign affairs. In this context, it should assess and report on the forthcoming at the invitation of Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Moscow by Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi. According to the representative of the Office of Egyptian President Yasser Ali, Egypt plans "not only for the restoration of special relations with Russia in various fields, and relies on the provision of Moscow need to address the impact of problems in the Middle East region, particularly in Syria."

In-2, during a meeting with Lavrov, Brahimi defined a common position: finding a political solution of the Syrian crisis on the basis of the Geneva accords. They are understood to anticipate a cease-fire in the country, the official dialogue between Damascus and the opposition forces, the establishment of a transitional government and presidential elections. Only Under such a scenario, you can save events in the framework of international law, to prevent the spread of political turmoil in the region. Note also the fact that, under the Geneva communique is signed and Turkey, and the fact that, according to Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Misha Bogdanova, Moscow decided to support Ankara's initiative to make the new format of negotiations to resolve the crisis in Syria.

This is due to the fact that previously made on the initiative of Cairo so called "Islamic Quartet" on the Syrian resolution — Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Qatar — did not work because of the refusal of Saudi Arabia to act together with Iran. Then, as the format of the Turkey-Russia-Iran has a certain perspective, even as the two countries — Our homeland and Turkey — are signatories of the Geneva document, and Iran, in principle, to support his main position. If the proposed combination will support Turkey and the Arab League as the crotch step Syrian settlement, then there is a chance to perform a "diplomatic breakthrough" in this area. Moreover, the implementation of Turkey's initiatives would be significantly strengthened its diplomatic position across the Near East, as in this case, it gets a real chance to make their own contributions to the plan for a settlement in Syria, which is currently preparing a special envoy Brahimi, the UN and the Arab League.

But immediately offer a variety of formats on the Syrian negotiating the settlement and to identify opportunities for possible deployment of missiles on its territory Patriot — ways to use this policy of "double standards." The result of such diplomacy can not be settlement Syrian crisis, and the arms race and the entrance to another foreign policy deadlock. Since, according to the Turkish newspaper Yeni Asya, "to overcome the stalemate in Syria, Turkey can only decline when" the balance of consent "as a regional and international levels. But exposing the adjacent Muslim countries as a source of danger, Ankara only loses political and diplomatic maneuver at the regional level, and more drifting toward the object of international politics. This is precisely the newspaper warns Usak gundem, which believes that if the international community would accept Turkey "only through the filters of the Syrian crisis and military political confrontation with the adjacent countries, it inevitably will withdraw from the "game". This is, in our opinion, at this point, the main source of political threat to Turkey. Get out of this difficult situation with the help of NATO Patriot missiles in Turkey is unlikely to succeed.

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