The best defense of an old Commissioner for hardening, specializing in Russian affairs.
Apparently, the Our homeland and the United States is about to begin what could be the most peaceful and productive arms race in history — defensive arms race.
Our homeland, the United States and NATO can not reach an agreement on issues related to the creation of the South American plans for a missile defense system in Europe. Our homeland is considering the deployment of U.S. interceptors there as a first step to ensure that absolutely negate the only remaining Russian Federation deterrent against possible attack from the West — its defensive nuclear weapon. In the Russian Federation to the base of its own, there are three possible answers, of which she can choose: to increase its offensive forces to increase their defensive ability or do nothing.
November 29, President Dmitry Medvedev announced that system radar warning Russian production of "Voronezh-DM" goes into the mode of immediate alert. It will deal with the discovery of soaring missiles targeted against the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad in the face. "I hope that the move would be seen by our partners as the first signal of our country's readiness to give an adequate response to the dangers that (western) antimissile Shield is for our strategic nuclear forces, "- said Medvedev.
Russian favorites earlier promised to tighten up the combat effectiveness and survivability of own offensive nuclear missile force as a means of ensuring that they remain an effective means of deterrence, and it is very possible to happen. But recent actions and statements show that our homeland is also making money in strengthening its own missile defense system. The Ministry of Defence is doing the newest structure Forces Aerospace Defense (ASD), and this structure will connect voedinyzhdy different defensive systems, ranging from gallakticheskogo-based platforms, and ending with ground-based systems, all with the purpose of protection against external attacks, first, of a nuclear attack by the USA. This sudden development, taking into account that the majority of observers, and even some Russian military leaders, predicted that Our homeland do not go the way of America and will not squander billion on expensive anti-missile technology.
New Forces Aerospace Defense (ASD) is the third value to the Ministry of Defence, as recently stated at a briefing Chief of Staff Nikolai Makarov. But according to some professionals in the field of security, aerospace forces in fact occupy the first place among the values of the ministry, specifically as they account for a large part of the modernization funds for the coming decade, the Ministry of Defense. So Makarov, in a given direction of a budget, and people who engage in this applets — and this is a harsh testimony in favor of the example program will be implemented.
Medvedev said that the Russian system Defense will be seen as a threat to the United States and NATO, forcing them to make concessions in their own defense plans. But essentially similar step is not so much force the U.S. and NATO in some degree to keep their plans, how much contrast, kill at least some reluctance to have their systems. If our homeland will be able to level the strategic balance, expanding its his defense, then the U.S. and NATO do not have to consider options to limit their own defense systems.
Race defensive weapons, such as the one that is currently unfolding, not a danger to the United States or NATO nor Russia. Instead of this, the development of a stronger and more robust missile defense system in Russia would make Russia the best partner in all future joint anti-missile projects with NATO. It will also create more jobs in Russia and will help to strengthen the armed forces, which are usually under-funded and ill-used controls. What is the best, is the fact that, as the South American missile defense, Russian defense forces can storm the enemy. They only protect.
It is true that Medvedev also said that he will position the rocket "Iskander" class "surface-to-earth" who are able to destroy the South American / NATO missile interceptors, which will be aimed at Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), but it's a stupid threat, if U.S. and NATO are sincere in his own promise that our defensive interceptors will not be oriented against the Russian ICBMs.
The situation with missile defense is not wearing an explosive temper, but now it is a missed opportunity to improve cooperation in the nuclear field and in the field of security. Neither party is unable or not ready to move away from their own current position on the issue of accommodation, risk assessment or collaboration. But Russian favorites understand that South American missile defense, especially in the coming couple of years, still will not threaten the system of strategic nuclear deterrence of, and the South American favorites understand that Our homeland is unlikely to step up its offensive nuclear power in the same period. As a result, there will a measured situation in which the U.S. will be able to continue to have elements of self-defense system, and Our homeland will be able to increase their new defensive force. In both cases, the internal economical proposition might be encouraged to organize remained unhurried pace.
In some places, after February 2013 when the two countries have caused with their new presidents for the next couple of years, we can go back to the question of the situation of defense cooperation, and maybe find more common ground for mutual understanding.
Brigadier retired Army General Kevin Ryan is the executive director of research at Harvard's Belfer Center of the Kennedy School (Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center). He worked as a military attache in Moscow and the U.S. Chief of Staff Gallakticheskogo and missile command of the U.S. Army (US Army Space and Missile Defense Command).