This topic is devoted to a discussion on the website of the Russian Fund of Yegor Gaidar.
Dmitry Oreshkin, political scientist, journalist: a strange feeling: it's all said for a long time. Even boring to repeat. What to negotiate with Lukashenko pointless because all the same throw. That its economy sooner or later will drive. That Russian oil and gas subsidies, which amount has reached $ 60 billion, praests … What populism and dictatorship can not — at least in the long term — to be effective. What to get out of the impasse would be more painful than to stay there.
Elena Gapova, sociologist, professor of Western Michigan University, director of the Center for Gender Studies, European Humanities University: Perspectives of people's anger and mass to the streets — so massive that it was a "revolution" is unlikely (in my view, impossible). Restraining economic inequality, A. Lukashenko braked klyasavtvarenne. Therefore, there is no "bourgeoisie" (or the middle class in the Western sense), ie, groups with common interests, which has autonomy and therefore can "call the state to account," of course not, but without elite that have reasonable hope of coming to power, the revolution did not happen.
Grigory Ioffe, Professor of Geography at Radford University: Belarusian opposition think (most pretends to think) that the alternative to Lukashenka's regime is a democracy. This is complete nonsense, it is an alternative to the oligarchy, the most aggressive, the provincial grade.
Fully see discussion here