Iran insists that its ships Navy approaching U.S. shores. Vessels move along the eastern part of the African coast, and have to go out into the Atlantic Ocean near South Africa. But Pentagon skeptical towards Iran, and expresses concern: in Washington believe that Tehran is bluffing, while the Islamic Republic is set very seriously.
Iran has not put in front of him such an amazing goal as bullying States the danger of war. In Tehran, give yourself to report that in the Atlantic Ocean is no single database that is ready to serve the Iranian navy, and in the case of military conflict, along with the ships crew will be cast adrift with all the ensuing consequences, right up to the flooding or captivity.
In general, the real question is whether there is in fact the ships. Statement by sending the fleet to sea borders U.S. did Afshin Rezaye Haddad, commander of the Northern Fleet, Iran. His words have not yet been proved beyond the control of sources, although the route of the convoy passes through the busy waters where impossible not to see the big warship.
Shipping fleet to the South American coast — it is not a military maneuver and political demarche. It is unlikely that Iran hopes to make the U.S. a severe danger, but he wants to show his neighbors that his fleet is in good condition and fully alert. First, should know this in Saudi Arabia and Oman, which at any moment may come into force a confrontation with Iran.
Tehran’s allies must also be convinced of the power of the Islamic Republic, on the other they can turn away from it to find the best partners and patrons. Must constantly maintain a strong and ready style to active country.
Director, Center for Strategic Ivan Konovalov situation implies that Iran is sending a fleet to U.S. shores his hopes to raise its rates in a big game in the Middle East, and he came to achieve this goal. Although the words Afshin Rezaye Haddad has not been proved, the principal intent of Tehran were «topic number one» in the global media, and now they say about Iran as a country with developed navies capable to compete with other Gulf states.
It is significant that the intention to send the fleet to the maritime borders of the United States, Iran announced in September 2012. Then read on behalf of Tehran Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayar: according to him, the Iranian ships near the territorial waters of the United States would be a good counterweight to the South American fleet, went down in the Persian Gulf. But right behind those statements gromozvuchnymi no specific actions are not followed.
For a year earlier, in February 2011, two Iranian warships entered the Mediterranean through the Suez Canal, and visited a friendly visit to Syria. This event is a few weeks it became the main topic discussed in the media. Then Iran reached the appropriate effect on the practice of the power of declaring its own fleet.
From 1979 to 2011, none of the Iranian warships did not pass through the Suez Canal. Western and Arab media interpreted the Iranian Navy expedition as an attempt by Tehran to establish itself in the Eastern Mediterranean, demonstrating his strength to Israel and Saudi Arabia. In general, the visits become something of a friendship is not the same: after 2011, the naval forces of Iran no longer solved similar trips to the borders of NATO.
Prospects of military confrontation
If the information on the nomination of the Iranian ships to the South American coast would be reliable, it is unlikely that the fleets between Iran and the United States can occur any military clashes. As mentioned above, Iran has no ability to service its fleet, located in the Atlantic Ocean, and in Tehran understand that. Suicidal battle of the Iranian ships with South American Islamic republic is not favorable because the country desperately needs in the navy to protect its territorial waters. In the bank — every ship because next — brutal neighbors.
Sharp aggravation of the situation and the death of the Iranian ships away from the Gulf will inevitably lead to the burdening of relations between Iran and the Arab monarchies. Sensing slack, Saudi Arabia and its satellites can fully unleash anger against Iran, while the South American fleet moves to the shores of the Islamic republic. Death of the Iranian Navy will allow to transfer military actions on the Iranian coast: probable landing troops for the purpose of destruction of infrastructure necessary for the production and transportation of oil.
We must not forget that Iran and the Arab monarchies — irreconcilable rivals-getters hydrocarbons. If you throw geopolitical games and sectarian confrontation, the conflict between the Islamic Republic and Saudi Arabia will be similar to the struggle between corporations with 2, both of which sell the same product and fight for a place under the sun. That is why the energy infrastructure of the enemy, especially coastal, will be the main target for the armed forces of Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Loss of large warships in store for Iran bolshennymi troubles. The fact that the composition of the Iranian Navy has a small number of vessels with a huge displacement. Naval Base — numerous small ships capable of rapidly strike and retreat. Iran missile boats can damage part of the coastal infrastructure in the Arabian Peninsula, but is unlikely to stand up in a fight against a massive U.S. Courts, Saudi Arabia, Oman and other countries.
Such a scenario does not need to Tehran.
So do not wait for the harsh military confrontation if, of course, the U.S. will not provoke Iranian ships to open fire. Today’s hike Iranian Navy is symbolic in nature, and help solve puzzles only political nature, but not the military.
United States, in turn, is also not yet prepared to forced marches in the Middle East. On a day or agenda — Syria, Ukraine, China, and their Iranian nuclear programm background receding into the second plan. Washington’s refusal to own objectives in relation to Tehran became evident after in Geneva, the parties came to a compromise, and sanctions against Iran have been partly canceled.
The first step to addressing call Barack Obama became President of the Islamic Republic Hassan Rouhani in September last year. It is curious that the telephone conversation was not planned, and was held at this highest level for the first time since 1979.
After that option tensions between Iran and the West began to decline. Perhaps that States need in order to free up resources to fight other global fronts, especially in distant Asia, where China uniformly increases its military power in the hopes of becoming one of strongest countries in the world. Washington began playing in the Middle East, had forgotten about China, and now urgently required to make every effort in order to patch up the breach.
In such criteria Iran can afford to almost all. Now the fleet is not necessary to always keep in own shores in anticipation of an attack from the sea, and several warships can safely send to swim out to the distant shores of North America. The remaining boats are fully controlled with puzzles on the protection of the maritime boundary.
So Makar, the Islamic Republic skillfully uses neuvvyazkami U.S. Distant Asia. The rise of China profitably Tehran: not enough who will direct attention to the Iranian nuclear program from when China was rearming, and also the West has difficulties in Syria and Ukraine. Specifically, these countries in the coming six months will be a priority for Brussels and Washington. In such criteria Iranian naval campaign in the Atlantic Ocean come to Tehran to hand: the West simply no time to deal with Iran, he has difficulties and more than burning.
Created by Artem Wit