Leonid Ivashov: Eurasian alliance: challenges and prospects

In the past 20 years of the "new Russia" in the middle of all international problems more acute are the issues of the state of relations between the former Soviet countries. Intertwining destinies of people once one of the country 2-hundred people who have created a unique civilization, continue to disturb virtually all segments of the population post-Soviet world. And it's not just nostalgia on material well-being, but something more profound. In my opinion, this feeling was expressed by one very ancient creator when he said, "… full of happiness man should have a nice country." And no matter how trying to blacken the Russian past, a sense of grandeur and glory in the common destiny of the peoples of the USSR maintained. And so the manifest desire for unification, and therefore compose "historians" new countries "glorious page" in the history of their own people, and Russian history, the role of the Russian people try to belittle and negate.

So, for example, in the history books of the CIS countries, written in the early 90's to the Soros funds, our homeland, and Russian people not exhibited by the other as aggressors, the invaders, the colonizers. Exceptions are part of Belarus and Armenia, where our common historical destiny described by relatively impartial. But erase the historical memory of nations, to divide the borders of a single cultural-historical and spiritual place fails. People of all ages continue to live in it. In all election campaigns, presidential and parliamentary, and not only in Russia, the CIS integration is a priority in the home. Thus, Yeltsin ahead of presidential elections in 2006 announced the development of countries of the Union of Russia and Belarus, signed in September 1995 decree, which established the basic international value of Russian politics deep integration of the post-Soviet space. However, neither the first nor the second did not take place. Prerequisites different, but of course one thing: political solutions require deep scientific study, making the respective concepts, modeling, planning. Unfortunately, most of the thoughts put forward do not receive a corresponding development and remain political slogans of the moment. Just think of the Union government. Until now, no one knows what really it is. No matter the theory, precedents in the world is not (something like a union of the country is Bosnia and Herzegovina, but that the formation of a temporary and enforced, which has no perspective), the project, there is only a declaration of intent. The question is: what did we build and build at all? Hunt to lay that at this time the idea of V. Putin on the development of the Eurasian Union will gain real shape and went out and brought embodied in the form of a scientific theory and political practice. Since this is a — command time, the answer to the challenge of the modern world.

One of the manifestations of globalization of human society was the formation of geopolitical entities that form the global processes. These actors often take on the role of countries and those in a number of respects lose their subjectivity and politics and economics, and social relations. On the world stage has reached transnational society, challenge the state. This subject of world politics is now the most powerful 45 thousand TNCs, more than 1 thousand of international banks, 16 international financial centers, their own staff structures in the form of the IMF, the World Bank, its own printing press — the Federal Reserve. To coerce dissenters are NATO, the U.S. intelligence services. This particular monster forms the world processes. His forces committed a revolution in economics: money come off the production, have become not only a means of payment, and the product, and the meaning of life. As a response to evolving global and regional associations for cultural and historical grounds. Among the latter — Greater China, Europe, India, rapidly integrating into Latin America, on the order of the Islamic world.

Three geopolitical center determine now the main global processes, leading a tough fight and immediately forming a global field of tension. Is North America, Europe, China. They own potentials, distinguishing them as world leaders: independent economic space with the number of consumers own more than 400 million people, GDP, equal to more than 20 trillion. bucks, a private global currency, armed forces capable of operating in any region of the world, in the oceans, space, geopolitical doctrine and the global strategy; own development strategy. Russia belongs in the second tier of global players and recognize its world-power status only because of the presence of nuclear capability, coupled with the spatial location, natural resources and succession in relation to geopolitical greatness of the Soviet Union. But all this — the past heritage, the new geopolitical potential of our brand new home does not. Increase in the number of billionaires, limousines and corruption — it would be a shame as it sounds, from the other, not geopolitical, opera. If segodnyaschy Russia will not change its line of movement of 'development', then in the coming couple of decades, we slide into the third tier, a number of raw and not fully established state. Although we have a few 10 s ballistic missiles. Looking back on the Russian draft, we notice that he is the prototype of today's geopolitical centers of the world. Because AG Lukashenko, after reading the article V. Putin's "News" about the Eurasian Union, and referred to "the collapse of the Russian Union of profound, catastrophic mistake of the twentieth century" (Putin himself previously read about the collapse of the Soviet Union as a "geopolitical catastrophe").

The project of a Eurasian Union a burning may have a perspective, but there are some "buts". In 1-x, for control of the Eurasian space, for its resources, infrastructure and markets are struggling geopolitical centers of the world — the U.S., China, Europe. Plus for the impact on Central Asia "fight" favorites 3 branches of the Islamic world: Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia. Plus elite Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are not inclined to share the sovereignty of the state, precisely on his own authority. Kyrgyzstan is related duties as a member of the WTO. Tajikistan fails to enter into a common customs and economic place because of the "walled off" from the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan. Etc. etc. In the Caucasus can show enthusiasm for the proposal by Vladimir Putin, only Armenia, but it has no common border with Russia, or with other future members. Now about Ukraine. The elites of "independence" and a significant portion of the population want to live in Europe but not in Asia. Well, she did Our homeland is not a pretty example, especially the Russian hinterland, and oil and gas — the object of envy, but less so. Especially since Europe is holding the nose of Ukraine "carrot" probable accession to the EU.

So the real contenders for membership in the alliance are our future homeland, Belarus, Kazakhstan. Yet the Eurasian alliance to build. But the focus is not only on the economy. The economic success of the Chinese, Indians, Brazilians, and the previously Japanese preceded the return of these people to public values, the connection of cultural and historical traditions of the fruits of progress in the field of technology. The main reward of Deng Xiaoping was returned to Chinese Confucianism to the "Book of Changes", to the origins of Chinese civilization. As the state (geo-political) ideas of Chinese around the world re-sign stands China. Success of the Chinese appear not only in the economy, but first i
n education, culture, science, and social services. During the reform period, the physical growth of the average Chinese has increased by 11 cm This is a result of the development of personality, aspirations for the future. So the project of the Eurasian Union economy should constitute a means of inclusive development of man and society, and not an end in itself. Liberal financial model, the Western values of life inimical to the values of the Russian (Russian) civilization, which absorbed the juices in all the indigenous peoples of Russia and the USSR. This was written in the nineteenth — early twentieth centuries. Outstanding Russian thinkers.

I am convinced that the first successes of the Eurasian Union will push other Commonwealth countries to find ways of entry into it. But the potential union, even if it will take most of the members of the CIS will be lacking to compete successfully with China, Europe, the U.S. and transnational money monster. We need to create the beginning of a new world, unite voedinyzhdy all who disagree with the new world order. The contours of such associations are read: SCO, BRIC, ASEAN and other Eurasian alliance must act together with Russia as a whole. Plus, the start formation of an independent geopolitical center (for a start — economic space). Again, is there a need for deep scientific theoretical basis and painstakingly obmyslennaya strategy.

There is another stark discrepancy in the path of the Eurasian Union. This bureaucracy. In the years since the collapse of the Soviet Union has developed quite a good layer of Russian managers. The Russian official attended a strong sense of responsibility for the assigned work area. Administrative responsibility, party, social and criminal. Even reprimand, administrative, and even more party, retarded career and spurred diligence. Now officials are fitted with frames is not far away at Prof. pluses, go to office for any municipal or socially important achievements, but in most cases, well-being — both their own and who you pushed for the position. The ruling party in Russia — is not the Communist Party, even Gorbachev period … and yet Eurasian alliance actually need all the nations of the CIS, since embarking on his creation is necessary immediately. Nedavneshnee agreement of Heads of Government on the establishment of a free trade area — a practical step in this direction. But here, the process can run into bureaucratic reefs — the bureaucrats will "milk" the business structure, hindering the implementation of presidential and governmental decisions. We need a system of protection and support for business projects from both countries as well as through the creation of their own business structure protection and support of a typical MES for business. This could trigger "Business Russia" by taking, for example, for the base patented theoretical developments AR Petrosyan's "Agency of equal opportunity" or any other. Again, the same theory can not do without. And finally, another argument in favor of the union. Russian managers have existed such thesis: if the opponent criticizes means we are on the right method. Putin's proposal caused a mild panic in the West and harsh criticism. They started talking, with a concern about the revival of the Soviet Union. I am far from thinking that Western policy in an era of crisis terribly worried about our well-being: they are worried at first about their own interests, which, in general, it is true. Means Eurasian Alliance — in the interests of the peoples of the Commonwealth. Within this framework can and should form the total (or approaches) foreign policy stance, defending the practice of joint economic interests, a system of collective security. West infinitely easier to deal with each of the post-Soviet countries, individually and specifically why States need to join our …

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