Moscow still wants to give Lukashenko credit?

Today, during the report of Prime Minister Mikhail Myasnikovich Alexander Lukashenko said that Russia is ready to provide credit support to Belarus for more than 6 billion dollars.

This was reported by the agency "Interfax-West" in the presidential press service. The agency quoted the head of state, "I am only what he said with the president of Russia … He called me. We are negotiating with the Russian Federation on a stabilization loan to support the exchange rate of the Belarusian ruble. For all they are willing to negotiate to ensure that urgently, if necessary, and neterminova, if we do not need, to react to it. And that's about $ 3.1 billion, if of course we will sign an agreement with them, "- said Alexander Lukashenko.

"Everything is almost done, and Belarus can get this loan," — said the president's press service.

In addition A. Lukashenka said: "At about $ 3 billion — is the future sale of our products. We are ready to credits for. Altogether it is more than 6 billion dollars — enough this year not only to stabilize but also to have a solid gold reserves. "

Comment by Yuri Drakakhrust:

Of course, one can not completely rule out the possibility of the miraculous appearance of such a large rescue loan from Russia, it is enough to recall the sharp turn in the bilateral relationship, which took place in December last year.

However, a number of reasons and analogies do not allow the cast and version according to which the statement of the Belarusian president — no more than a PR, an attempt to appease public opinion.

Yuri Drakakhrust

Last week, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said that Belarus This year, receive at $ 3 billion, which requested, but only one billion. Kudrin said that Russia could bring to Belarus, and over the next two years, even a billion dollars. In sum obtained just 3 billion, but within 3 years. Perhaps the money Lukashenko had in mind — it is indeed a figure that he called. But the installments for 3 years is hardly urgent help.

If we are talking about the scheme, it is good face on a bad game: Russia refused to 3 billion the year and presents them for 3 years, which has yet to be lived.

If it is a friend, that President Medvedev suddenly disavowed the Minister of Finance and showed a much more generous, here matters even more.

Russia, of course, not a model of democracy, but not a country where the leader can personally give money to the king's shoulder. Russia ruled tandem president and prime minister, the relationship between them is now difficult. Finance Minister — the man Prime Minister Vladimir Putin. It is worth remembering, as in the its time in an interview with Polish television Lukashenko sarcastically asked a rhetorical question — is it not Russian President Putin?

You can argue about how appropriate this was sarcasm, but exactly what is known about the Russian government, does not fit the story, according to which the President contrary to the public declaration of the government suddenly finds three billion dollars for an expensive ally.

As for another three billion, said Lukashenko, their nature is even less clear. You may recall how at one time said that China already provides $ 15 billion for about the same commodity-money scheme. Against the background of such sums why seemingly those Russian penny? But it turned out that, apparently, someone did not understand something about the countless billions of Chinese nobody remembers.

Oh, and finally — in the Russian news agency RIA-Novosti fact talking presidents confirmed, but about credit support — not a word. "The President of Russia Dmitry Medvedev discussed by telephone with President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko issues of integration cooperation in the framework of the EurAsEC Customs Union and Common Economic Space of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan", — the press service of the Kremlin.

The two leaders also exchanged views on key issues on the bilateral agenda.

Exchange of views — this is not a firm commitment to provide $ 6 billion.

However, it is possible that the Belarusian side in the face of the president went on to make major concessions in all, or some, subjects that interested the Russian side — Beltransgaz, MAZ, potash companies, privatization, the introduction of the Russian ruble in Belarus. Then please Moscow this seems more probable and reasonable, at least then it becomes easier to understand the call of the Russian president, who recently rarely spoke with his Belarusian counterpart.

Perhaps more clarity will appear in a few days, during a visit to Minsk, the Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.

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