Scientists: Russia will not receive bonuses from warming

MOSCOW, November 7 — RIA Novosti. Calculations of global warming in the 21st century on the East European Plain and West Siberia suggest that climate change will have no positive environmental and economic impacts of these regions, said the head of the Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Geography Moscow State University Alexander Kislov, speaking at an international conference "Problems of adaptation to climate change."

Kislov, Dean of the Faculty of Geography Moscow State University Nikolai Kasimov and their colleagues analyzed using a model CMIP3 geographical, environmental and economic impacts of global warming on the East European Plain and in Western Siberia in the 21st century.

In particular, the changes in river flow, the state of permafrost, vegetation distribution, characteristics of malaria morbidity. In addition, study how to respond to climate processes amounts of hydropower and agroclimatic resources, how the duration of the heating period.

"Climate change is almost never lead to positive results in terms of ecology and economy (in addition to reducing heating costs), at least in the short term. A significant deterioration of hydrological resources in the southern part of the East European Plain", — concluded the researchers.

In this case, the consequences of climate change is much more pronounced on the East European Plain, than in Western Siberia.

"The response of individual regions to global change are very different … in each region was dominated by a natural ecological process, caused by climate change, such as melting permafrost and desertification", — concluded Kislov.

International Conference "Problems of adaptation to climate change" (PAIC-2011) conducted on behalf of the Russian government Roshydromet the participation of other agencies, Russian Academy of Sciences, business and community organizations, with the support of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, UNESCO, the World Bank and other international institutions.

In the meeting, the organizing committee is headed by the head of Hydromet Alexander Frolov, attended by heads of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Rajendra Pachauri, the UN's Special Representative for Disaster Risk Reduction, Margareta Wahlström, the Secretary General of WMO Mishesh Jarraud, the World Bank, UNEP, Russian and foreign climatologists and meteorologists , politicians, government officials, economists and businessmen.

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