A logical story. The effect of total bad luck: From Midway to unexpected frosts Russian

A logical story.  "The effect of total bad luck": From Midway to the sudden Russian frosts

When people begin to be interested in history, especially the military, but do not engage in it seriously — at their alternativschiki syndrome appears.

Exactly what is it? This is when people read something new yourself, without the help of others, or with the "help" of the creator, is the main point, which is changing, it can change history. And then the finder awed this recognition of sacred truth about luck and bad luck, and awareness, as one would change the destiny of the world.

Surfactants are people who understand the history of this effect in a great many events and battles. And the story begins, "enlightened" about the ability of "Varyag" break in full swing when to throw gunboat "Korean". On the bad luck in Prokhorovka Germans, allegedly led to the defeat already "won" the Germans Kursk Bulge. On Stalin's fatal error is believing Sorge / Hitler to believe. And even the "bad luck" of the Germans in the form of a "terrible cold."

Especially so as not to spin the fan — try to show everything in a very neutral for us, clearly expressed and, one might say, refined example.

So — scramble of Midway.

Midway — the first great defeat of the Japanese fleet in the Pacific War. Specifically, he is seen as the collapse of the Japanese plan to win the war.

Read more common arguments:

"Theoretically, they could not overcome. But they overcame and defeated, changed the entire course of the war in the Pacific … Midway with all the brightness showed how in dealing with significantly outnumbered in the human soul accumulates some magical mixture of courage, skill and faith in the rightness of their own business, which results from seemingly certain defeat to victory indescribable. " (Walter Lord)

"Given that even a limited scale Japanese response attack aircraft carrier "Yorktown" brought people of the country of the rising sun success, it can be assumed that the final battle would be entirely different if it were not for a set of coincidences and a happy coincidence for the Yankees. " (Wikipedia article)

Which translate into:

"- Pure case McCluskey found the Japanese compound specifically at a time when Japanese fighters, working at low altitude, finely shredded torpedo Messi. And dive bombers missed the target.

— Pure case of bomb hit the "Akagi", "Kaga" and "Soryu" particularly at a time when their decks were packed with one hundred percent filled and military aircraft. In the "Akagi" were only two of the bombs, plus a third exploded nearby. It is clear that in normal conditions they aircraft carrier shall not overflow. And here — a fully enough.

But even in this infernal luck fourth aircraft carrier, "Hiryu", was left unharmed — rassredotachivanie goals passed spontaneously, its just no one stormed. There was one of four — but even this was not enough, that the Americans have lost "Yorktown." Later, strshnymi effort and sank "Hiryu" …

Here, in fact. If I lay out all right, the inhabitants of the country of the Rising Sun had a good chance of winning. They are, in fact, already won. "

And there is even such a ferocious absurdity:

"Summarizing, we note that the mistake and Yamamoto and Nagumo was reluctant to listen to the language of coincidences and premonitions, the sixth, neurodevelopmental contour of the psyche, the initiation of which within the" Strategy miracle "imminent. Americans could afford for themselves a similar inattention — they are already scouting out the level of technology. The Japanese side professed support for Chaos, as nominee for universal Western order. But within the framework of this strategy were to read the signs of Doom and take into account. " (Sergey Pereslegin)

Now make out a matter of luck in this battle, tell them so human.

Living in the country of the rising sun to calculate landing operation. They do not know that the ideal target U.S. aircraft carriers.

Americans know where the people of the country of the rising sun will strike, and mean what forces. The surprise on the side of the Yankees.

Quest of Midway — Naval Aviation is a battle without fire contact the ships. So that the forces will associate the plane to the other numbers do not obscure the brain.

Living in the country of the rising sun — 4 deck of aircraft carrier with 261 aircraft plus some reconnaissance aircraft on cruisers.

Americans — 3 deck of aircraft carrier with 230 aircraft 125 + aircraft on Midway Atoll.

In other words — in aircraft from the Yankees advantage of surprise and stealth deployment — too.

And so begins scramble. Americans first detect the enemy. June 3 followed by two attacks by U.S. aircraft, but not on aircraft carriers and amphibious the detected group. How terribly unlucky Yankees!

June 4 inhabitants of the country of the rising sun strike at Midway, but not very effective, because the Americans raised in advance aviation in the air. In response, Americans, finding the Japanese carriers are beginning to be applied to the attacks.

First strike — 10 torpedo planes, lost 7, there is no result.

Second — an attack dive bombers, 16 aircraft. Bombed by aircraft carriers. No hits, almost all dive bombers shot down.

3rd — inconclusive attack "Flying Fortresses".

Fourth — attack basic dive-bombers. No results.

5th — alternately 41 torpedo attack. A total of zero attacks, 35 aircraft shot down.

Second — attack Stukas, during which were hit 3 of 4 Japanese aircraft carriers.

That's all luck of the Yankees. The secret of the unusual luck foolishly simple: constant attack from various heights, while one of them was not crowned with success. It worked an advantage of the Yankees in aviation forces and ignorance of the Japanese to the fact that close by are South American carriers.

And what about a particularly unique in the battle of Midway? Honestly — nothing.

Living in the country of the rising sun victory after victory in the first months of the war. But an advantage of the U.S. and its allies over Japan in human resources was repeated, and the military-industrial potential even at times — on the order.

"Bad luck" or "bad luck" in the war for both sides. The strategy, team skills, resistance of individual units, etc. have changed the results of many, however, predicted fights. But the Americans successfully experienced all the "luck" the Japanese, getting to each subsequent fight harder. And the people of the country of the rising sun had 1st "luck" Yankees to go to lose all the prospects in the coming war.

Thus, the "lucky" to someone who "carries himself." If a country has more powerful than the enemy's military potential, ready for war and its population is ready to fight — at some point, "amazing luck" will be on her side.

Like this post? Please share to your friends: