U.S. obviously intensify its work in the region — is transferred to the center of Uzbekistan, start moving chips in the near East and the Great namely, in the subproject — "New Silk Road". What to expect from these movements in the region in the not to distant future?
"New Silk Road" — at least rhetorically project economically stupid without a leading China to connect to it. This means that the project is a political and military projects the U.S., right, even visually directed against China, against China's Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (XUAR) in order to connect the Turkic population of Xinjiang musumalnogo for future large-scale explosion, which will be implemented by the already known in Arab world scenario under U.S. administration. All the countries of Central Asia in this project (except, perhaps, Turkmenistan) — Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan — are considered "consumable", "cannon fodder" for future attacks on China. As part of the "global Balkans from Kosovo to Xinjiang", which cynically read more scheduler Barack Obama's foreign policy — the eternal Brzezinski.
Assess the visit of Robert Blake.
On the one hand, this is not the most fundamentally in the course of a number of political and military visits by the U.S. and its allies in NATO and the EU, which began almost immediately after the bloody events in Andijan, in the summer of 2005. On the other hand, the degree of demonstrative nudity, loyalty, intrigued by the highest authorities of Uzbekistan in conversation with not the highest representative of the United States — makes one sad conclusion: Uzbekistan is in need and the cost adds up all the political "eggs in one basket," the United States. Islam Karimov — a master of Central Asian politics and, therefore, should be aware that this does not guarantee it in person from repeating the fate of at least Hosni Mubarak. But going by Mubarak. Means his desperate situation.
How do you assess the potential operational center in Tashkent on regulation of the region?
The U.S. has no tasks "control": The U.S. has little problem of incitement and control "controlled conflict". And this task is solved, for though the chaos in the region can be set off as a suitable outcome — the creation of a measured risk to China.
As a priority, the U.S. presence in Uzbekistan will be reflected in the policy of his neighbors?
It will cause a profound jealousy in Kazakhstan (Editions close to the ruling party in Kazakhstan have begun befitting information work — approx. IA REGNUM) and the maximum mourning mood in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. For the two latter countries put the U.S. in front of a terrible historic choice: to become the South American protectorates Uzbekistan or become parts of the South American dismember Afghanistan. None of them in this situation, there is no decent selection.
How great will be the impact of the Russian Federation on these new processes in Central Asia and the impact of recent Central Asia to Russia?
In the Russian Federation has no direct, real-world, beyond the limits of monetary and diplomacy resources to influence the situation in the region, except inevitably impact — of the Customs Union — Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation in the Union. I think RF and Kazakhstan will have to urgently equip even more firmly the southern border of the Customs Union, which coincides with the southern border of Kazakhstan. And Russia will have to exert influence indirectly take urgent decisions on how large-scale legalization of labor migrants from Tajikistan, Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan and Russia. Many of them have come back. It is possible that the issue of the visa regime with these countries will be the main subject of their bilateral relations with Russia.