President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko has arrived in Armenia for two days prior to the informal summit of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, which begins tomorrow in Yerevan.
On the agenda of the visit of the Belarusian leader to Armenia is not officially reported. It will be recalled that last year, in the "honeymoon period" of relations between Belarus and the European Union, Alexander Lukashenko declined to meet with the then European Commissioner Benita Ferrero-Waldner, suddenly flown to Yerevan to Serzh Sargsyan.
The current early visit to Armenia is somewhat similar to last year's jump. Although it is possible that the Belarusian leader tries to appease a certain cooling, which is now observed in the relations between Belarus and Armenia in connection with the convergence of Minsk and Baku.
Lukashenko between Yerevan and Baku
Belarus has ambitious plans in the purchase and transit of Azerbaijani oil, during the June crisis is Ilham Aliyev Lukashenko lent $ 200 million to pay off the debt to "Gazprom" is information about the sale of arms of Azerbaijan Belarus.
Azerbaijani experts say directly that Baku does not preclude attempts to bring the power of Karabakh. Azerbaijan is arming and creates a circle of friends who would support such efforts. Belarus is an important partner in both directions.
And it bothers Armenia, by the way, an ally of the Belarusian military bloc CSTO.
How many divisions has the CSTO?
According to experts it is hardly expect anything from the summit of the CSTO, which will be held in Yerevan tomorrow. The position of the organization, as the Russian military analyst Alexander Goltz, before left much to be desired, and now does the bad. "Russia and other CSTO countries refused to help Kyrgyzstan, if it had been requested. This event put an end to the future of the CSTO," — says Mr. Goltz.
But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on the eve of the summit Armenian television that the CSTO peacekeeping forces are only in the process of formation. The minister recalled that the Collective Rapid Reaction Force (RRF) of the CSTO appeared more than a year ago, according to the results of the Moscow summit, the CSTO and that their formation is "actively pursued".
Two Belarusian intrigue CSTO summit
However, the CSTO summit accompanied by two intrigues that are associated with Belarus. First — it is the presence at the summit of the President of Kyrgyzstan Roza Otunbayeva. As the correspondent of the Russian service of our radio Galperovich Daniel, "it is not clear how to sit at the same table with colleagues Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko. He provided refuge to former Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, and in Yerevan at the summit will be representatives of the current Kyrgyz authorities that require the issue of Minsk Bakiyev. "
The Russian "Novye Izvestia" emphasize that the official Minsk, in turn, does not recognize the Kyrgyz government led by Otunbayeva. The newspaper also notes, and this is the second summit of the intrigue that "at the end of last week, the Kremlin warned that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev will not meet separately with his Belarusian counterpart, that sounded like a diplomatic flopping."
Moscow between Yerevan and Baku
If Lukashenko arrived in Armenia from almost private visit, the visit of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev — the first state visit in the history of Russian-Armenian relations.
According to Daniel Galperovich "during the meeting between Dmitry Medvedev and Serzh Sargsyan will discuss real-military cooperation. Expected that the agreement will be continued stationing of Russian troops in Gyumri until 2044. This is a large military base, it includes several regiments and battalions, including motorized infantry, anti-aircraft missile, tank and air units. There are about 5,000 Russian troops. "
I should add that Russia cooperates intensively in the military field and Azerbaijan. But it's easier than Belarus, balancing its relations with the warring parties in the region.