What to expect from the official Minsk visit of Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin? He brought credit to the Belarusian economy? And how much money do you need to Belarus out of the current crisis?
Yesterday, the President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko said that he had agreed with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on the allocation of $ 6 billion in Minsk. However, the Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said only about one billion dollars at the expense of the EurAsEC Anti-Crisis Fund. In Moscow, noted that the Belarusian side money can get in exchange for Belarusian assets — controlling "Beltransgaz" and others. Observers expect that it is Putin's visit to Minsk, and his meeting with Lukashenko can solve these issues. According to the analyst Alexander Klaskouski, monetary issue is of vital keen for the Belarusian regime:
"Will give or not give Putin the money — this will directly depend on the concessions agreed to the Belarusian side. Right now the Minister of Finance Kharkavets said that the alleged anti-crisis program has been agreed. But this is only a billion crisis fund of the Eurasian Economic Community. This cat's tears for today's catastrophic Belarusian situation. And then there is another part of the backstage negotiations. I think Russia is not so much out there fighting for market reforms in Belarus, as he wants to use the situation to get their hands on attractive assets. I think the main intrigue is here. "
According to the economist Leonid Zlotnikov, those six billion, which calculates Lukashenko will not be enough to pull the economy out of the crisis.
"In general, for the year to 12-15 billion to stabilize at least at level 4 thousand dollar. Clearly not enough. And come up with this out of the economic crisis can not be, because the crisis — in the inefficiency of the economy."
On the day of the visit of Vladimir Putin to Minsk fell pause in the trials against members of the Plaza on December 19: the last sentence will be handed down is May 20. Chairman of the UCP Anatoly Lebedko do not rule out that this break in the courts is somehow connected with Putin's visit to Minsk.
"Of course, come to Putin after, as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia has made such a pretty sensational statement and condemned the violation of human rights in Belarus — it would be a bad background for being in Minsk. So, I think, not without Moscow's recommendations to this day was so clean and the negative backdrop for Putin to stay in Belarus were not participants in the political processes of the presidential campaign. "
According Lebedko, today the biggest policy in Belarus — is the economy.
"I think that Putin came to Minsk to see some of the chairs that are of interest to Russia, and name your price. He then has the initiative. Therefore, he would see that he is offered chairs, name his price. And Belarusians can expect while only the rhetoric and the fact that they're lucky. "