Seismologists predict a new earthquake in the region of Canterbury in New Zealand. Perhaps this will be aftershocks after the earthquake of 2010 and 2011.
According to forecasts from the New Zealand Institute of Geological and Nuclear Research, in New Zealand in the Canterbury region can happen earthquake measuring 6.0? 7.0 in the next 12 months.
In an interview with Radio New Zealand is one of the employees of the Institute Matthew Gerstenberger, scientists built model shows that with high probability (23%) in this region will be aftershocks (aftershocks) following the September and February events.
September 4, 2010 and February 22, 2011 New Zealand's second largest city Christchurch earthquake rocked the magnitude 7.0 and 6.3. February's earthquake killed 181 people. It is almost completely flattened the central part of the city. Such serious damage is most likely, to the fact that the epicenter was near the city. Economic damage from the disaster is estimated at 12.3 million dollars. According Gerstenbergera, this event has become the most devastating earthquake that occurred in New Zealand in 1931 in the Bay Hawk, which killed 256 people.
However, according to the model of the Institute of Geological and Nuclear Research, the probability that an earthquake will happen again in Christchurch is rather small, it does not exceed 6%.
New Zealand is in a zone of volcanic Pacific Ring of Fire. In this area, which includes a chain of the Pacific Ocean, is a huge number of active volcanoes and earthquakes are many — they are actively in the process of formation of the crust.
Another powerful seismic zone runs along the Atlantic Ocean, is the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. Just in this area is Iceland, where the recent eruption of the volcano Grimsvotn.