Russian seismologists predicted Japan quake to 8.5

Japan may soon come a new earthquake of magnitude 7.5-8.5. An earthquake can also cause tsunami. These conclusions were Sakhalin seismologists, "Interfax". According to Head of Laboratory Sciences Seismology Institution "Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics" (IMGG), Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences Ivan Tikhonov, the epicenter of the new quake, most likely, will be located at the deep trough about 200 km east of the epicenter of the earthquake of 11 March 2011.

"There is a certain area, which now stands where there was a strong earthquake. This area is a kind of "live" somewhat independently from the rest of what is now recorded aftershocks, "- said Tikhonov. He said that the forecast of further development of aftershock process after the Japanese earthquake, he published recently in the journal" Bulletin of Sciences. "

"I introduced one of the possible scenarios of how things will develop scenario aftershock process after the earthquake. Not necessarily that it would happen, but it is quite probable, "- said Tikhonov.

— Professor Abram: Implications for Maritime will be much worse than Japanese

IMGG scientists predicted a major earthquake in the eastern coast of the Japanese islands of Hokkaido and Honshu, but did not expect that it will be so powerful, the scientist said in a report at the international conference "Advanced methods for assessing changes in geophysical phenomena, ecosystems and processes in the study and development of natural resources Sub-Arctic Sea of Okhotsk, "which started on April 5 in Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk.

Meanwhile, the number of victims of the earthquake in Japan is growing. At last report, it is approaching 28 thousand. Officially listed as killed 12,321 people, with 15,347 reported missing, reports Kyodo.

Russian scientists a few years ago built a graph of focal areas of strong earthquakes that occurred east of Hokkaido and Honshu in the period from 1933 to 2010. Then the area was found tranquility length of about 800 km, where, according to scientists, a strong earthquake of magnitude 7.6 or more was going to happen until March 20, 2011.

"The vacant area was filled seismic catastrophe March 11, 2011. Thus, in this zone earthquakes occur once in 100 years, earthquakes obey this law, and the last seismic event in Japan (March 11, 2011) did not violate this law, "- noted scholar.

He also gave details of the Geophysical Service U.S., which in the first days after the mega-earthquake in Japan has recorded about 170, and for 10 days — about 630 aftershocks of magnitude 6-7,1. Aftershock jolts covered a vast area of 600 km by 300 km — from the east coast of Honshu to the trench, and even beyond.

Kamchatka and the Kuril Islands in the danger zone

Similar graphs of strong seismic events a few years ago, scientists have made for Kamchatka and the Kuril Islands, which also identified areas of calm. To Kamchatka on this schedule alarm time when a strong earthquake could occur, occurs from April 25, 2011.

The most dangerous area — the southern part of Kamchatka, which can also affect the Northern Kuriles. For the Southern Kuriles alarming period began last August. It identified two danger zones — between about. Urup and the northern part of. Etorofu, second district — between about. Onekotan and Shiashkotan.

"The current situation in the area of seismic Kuriles until corresponds to the usual steady-state. If any deviations occur, it would be evidence of danger. While there was no danger. But not relax ", — said seismologist.


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