TSAMTO. Russia ahead of the U.S. in the number of exported fighters in 2008-2011. and maintain leadership in 2012-2015.
Russia ranks first on the quantitative parameter in the ranking of the largest global suppliers of new fighter aircraft over the period 2008-2015 gg. (369 vehicles in the amount of 16.54 billion dollars).
In the first 4-year period (2008-2011)., According TSAMTO, were exported 198 aircraft valued at 8.33 billion dollars in the second 4-year period (2012-2015). Current batch of orders and declared intentions for the direct delivery to be negotiated ongoing, is 171 fighter in the amount of 8.21 billion dollars.
Russia is the leader in this market segment on the quantitative parameter in both 4-year periods. In value parameter Russia ranks second after the United States over the period 2008-2011 gg., 2012-2015,. and in the whole region 2008-2015.
At the same time, to maintain its position in the period from 2016 onwards, Russia needs new contracts. Available on the current contracts and intentions to the direct delivery to maintain its leadership will not be enough. Since 2016, and will continue to gradually increase the number of F-35 for export under already existing contracts. Russia does not participate in a number of major tenders for the supply of fighters on the main supply that will come in 2016 and beyond (in particular, the South Korean Air Force tender). Solutions for tenders, which does not participate Russia should also take such mills as Brazil, Denmark, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait. Major program where Russia will take part, is tender Malaysian Air Force. Decide to purchase through international tenders must also Air Force Bulgaria, Serbia, the Philippines, Croatia and other countries.
Initial deliveries of fighters "Rafale" for the Indian Air Force will begin in 2015, and since 2016 the rate of supply will increase significantly. That is Russia in the next two to three years due to new contracts must solve the problem of maintaining its position in the period from 2016 onwards.
In general, according to TSAMTO, in the coming four-year period (2012-2015). Sales of new multi-role fighters will be 548 units. amounting to 35.77 billion dollars in the case of the delivery schedules under current contracts, and the declared intentions of the tender.
In the past four-year period (2008-2011). In the world were exported or manufactured under license 520 new aircraft valued at 30.18 billion dollars.
In percentage terms, the growth of exports of new fighters in 2012-2015. over years 2008-2011. amount to 5.38% in terms of quantity and 18.52% — in value.
In 2008-2011. average demand for modern multi-role fighter in the international market was 130 vehicles per year. In the next period, the annual demand will rise to 137 units.
Second place the quantitative parameter for the period of 2008-2015 years. with a small gap from Russia by the United States (324 fighter in the amount of 28.96 billion dollars). In value parameter USA confidently occupy the first place.
In 2008-2011. were exported 185 aircraft worth 14.65 billion dollars for the period 2012-2015. Projected supply currently estimated at 139 new vehicles in the amount of 14.31 billion dollars. Recession indicators for 2012-2015,. associated with delayed production of fighter aircraft F-35 "Lightning 2" and the postponement of the purchase of these aircraft by many participants in the program. However, to date, the U.S. has the largest number of orders for the period from 2016 onwards.
Third Place over the period of 2008-2015 years. the quantitative parameter, mainly due to supply fighter jets to Pakistan JF-17 "Thunder", is China (179 machines in the amount of 3.37 billion dollars). In the first 4-year period were exported 67 aircraft valued at 1.29 billion dollars in the second 4-year period, the volume of supply will increase substantially, and will amount to not less than 112 units. in the amount of $ 2.1 billion. It should be noted that the cost parameters for the period 2008-2015 years. China behind the U.S., Russia, the UK and Sweden.
Fourth place rating of the quantitative parameter is the United Kingdom (95 fighters in the amount of 10.32 billion dollars. in 2008-2011. Great Britain has secured a portfolio of licensed production in India of aircraft "Jaguar" and the beginning of the supply of fighters EF-2000 "Typhoon" Austria and Saudi Arabia (a total of 47 aircraft valued at 4.41 billion dollars). second 4-year period, basic supplies will be provided by the production of fighter EF-2000 "Typhoon" for Saudi Arabia. total in this period, the exports planned to deliver 48 aircraft in the amount of 5 91 billion dollars.
Fifth place with a fighter JAS-39 "Gripen" is Sweden (49 machines in the amount of 3.94 billion dollars). In the first 4-year period for export to South Africa and Thailand were delivered 23 aircraft worth $ 1.5 billion. In the second 4-year period, the volume of supply is estimated to be 26 cars in the amount of 1.44 billion dollars in the event that Switzerland will not give up on the choice of JAS-39 in favor of the French "Rafale".
Sixth place with the first export order for fighter aircraft "Rafale" for the Indian Air Force is France. While France is ranked only sixth place in the ranking, as planned in the period under review only the initial deliveries under this contract (6 cars in 2015 in the amount of 786 million dollars, the calculation of the total contract value). Further export prospects fighter "Rafale" Company "Dassault" ties with Brazil, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait.
By Category "tender", the results of which are not yet announced, the planned purchase of 46 new multi-role fighters in the amount of 2.045 billion dollars for delivery in 2014-2015., They do not significantly affect the position in the ranking of the world's leading exporters of fighters over the period 2012-2015 .
In calculating the market for new fighters accounted for only delivery of new machines already signed contracts, licensing programs, as well as the planned delivery on the stated program, on which negotiations are at an advanced stage of discussion (that is, those programs on which it is already possible to calculate the approximate delivery schedule). In the settlement of all international fighters exporters included only export orders (licensed programs), the supply of the domestic market is not taken into account. Not counted as deliveries of aircraft from the aircraft exporting countries and the export program of modernization.
A full report on the global market of new multirole fighter aircraft over the period of 2008-2015 years. will be published in the magazine "World trade in arms"