Russia firmly retains second place in terms of arms exports

Centre for Analysis of World Arms Trade, September 28.

TSAMTO According to preliminary data, the volume of Russian arms exports in 2012 amounted to 13.3 billion dollars, or 19% of global supply. With this indicator Russia takes the second place among the world's major arms exporters.

To its credit, Russia should be noted that good results for 2012 will be achieved by an almost complete loss of the Iranian market, a complete loss of market Libya, disruption of supplies on Syria (one example — refurbished Mi-25, which is only the "tip" of the iceberg in of possible short supply weapons to Syria, especially in the second half of 2012), as well as the actual displacement from the Russian defense market in Saudi Arabia, the United States of America.

In general, over the past four-year period (2008-2011). TSAMTO estimates the identified amount of Russian arms exports in the amount of 29.8 billion dollars (13.7% of world exports, second place). In the coming four-year period (2012-2015). Volume of Russian arms exports to reach at least 32.5 billion dollars (12%, also the second place).

For comparison:

USA

First place in the global arms market by a considerable margin from the competition held by the U.S.. The volume of the identified military exports to the United States in 2012 TSAMTO projected at $ 25.517 billion dollars, or 36.54% of the total world exports of defense products. In 2013 (on the basis of existing contracts and stated intentions to purchase) the volume of U.S. exports are projected to total 24.114 billion dollars (40.05% of total world exports).

Even without the new short-term contracts, even now, according to the existing order book and intentions for the direct delivery, the military, U.S. exports will increase substantially from the middle of the period: in 2014 — 32.653 billion dollars (51.57% of the world total) and in 2015 — USD 32.238 billion (41.6% of the global total). In the future, it is likely to reach the level of the annual export volume of $ 35 billion or more (up to 40 billion dollars) due to the practical implementation of long-term supply contracts, primarily with the countries of the Middle East.

In general, over the past four-year period (2008-2011). TSAMTO estimates the identified amount of U.S. military exports amounting to USD 83.436 billion (38.36% of the world total). In the coming four-year period (2012-2015). U.S. exports amount to at least USD 114 522 000 000 (42.28%).

France

Third place in the 2012, according to the forecast TSAMTO to take France — 5.613 billion dollars or 8.04% of total world supply.

Weather in France for the next few years (at the current order book and intentions for the direct delivery) in 2013 — 4.644 billion dollars (7.71%), in 2014 — 3.513 billion dollars (5.55%), in 2015 — 4.517 billion dollars (5.83%).

In general, over the past four-year period identified TSAMTO evaluates the amount of French arms exports in the amount of 16.727 billion dollars (7.7% of the global total). In the coming four-year period (2012-2015). Volume of military exports of France will be at least 18.287 billion dollars (6.75%). France ranks third in both periods, essentially giving Russia.

Tenders

Formally, the third at the moment by value of arms exports for the coming four-year period (2012-2015). Occupies the category of "unknown" (tenders, the results of which are not yet announced) — 24.86 billion dollars, which represents 9.18 % of the total estimated volume of arms exports in this period. Most of this amount is for delivery in 2015 — about 19 billion dollars.

Other countries

The following places in the top ten in the forecast volume of arms exports on the basis of 2012 will occupy Germany — 4.57 billion dollars (6.54%), United Kingdom — 3.239 billion dollars (4.64%), Israel — $ 2.8 bn (4 , 01%), Italy — 2.798 billion dollars (4%), China — 1.954 billion dollars (2.8%), Spain — 1.535 billion dollars (2.2%) and Sweden — 1.1 billion dollars (1.57 %).

Overall rating TSAMTO in the period 2008-2015 gg. includes 56 countries that have export of arms (or re-export).

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