Two decades after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia is beginning to influence European affairs are much more active than in any other period since the imperial era a century ago. Europe's response to the strengthening of Russia is one of the most sobering events taking place on the world stage.
The financial situation in Europe, desperate, and Moscow sees this as a good opportunity for the crisis itself. Therefore, the Kremlin is using all its available funds in the hands of self-affirmation and Russia to restore its former geopolitical position. Russia's goal — creation of a "Eurasian Union". This idea was put forward in October, former and future President Vladimir You know who. At present, Moscow is interested in the participation of Belarus, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Kazakhstan, but eventually she will want to include in the formation of many of the other countries at its periphery, including vostochnoevropeyskie.Chtoby claim to the eastern European part of the region, Russia chetyrehvektornuyu developed strategy.
First, Moscow is trying to present Russia as the island's economic and political stability in the midst of the world in crisis. Second, it invites you to think of the European companies wishing to consolidate and develop the Russian market. Third, Russia is hoping to offer financial support to bring Europe out of the crisis. Officially, the size of the Kremlin's foreign exchange reserves are 580 billion, but Stratfor sources have reported that in his other funds stashed another 600 billion dollars. Such huge currency reserves give Russia the opportunity to offer help Europe, while not stifling our economy.
Fourth, and most importantly, Russia is buying assets across Europe, and especially in Central European countries such as Poland, Italy, Czech Republic and even impoverished Greece to give Moscow leverage. Stratfor explains this phenomenon as follows. Kremlin is trying to "buy European assets while they are cheap. Moscow has already started buying companies throughout Europe that have been affected by the crisis. The focus of the Kremlin focused on banks and energy companies, followed by strategic assets, such as ports and airports. He does not look for the property that could give Russia the maximum financial benefit, he examines those companies that can provide significant leverage over Russia in Europe, especially in Central Europe.
In Germany, which is Europe's largest energy consumer, Moscow main attention to the creation of joint ventures in the energy sfere.Takoy chetyrehvektorny approach allows Moscow to take effect in Europe in the context of the financial crisis, without being subjected to serious allegations of direct intervention. "When the European crisis will subside, will become much clearer that it was possible to make Russian, while the Europeans were distracted and did not notice their actions," — writes Strafor.
But Germany is, in fact, not very distracted, and understands what is happening. No, the decision of the Berlin establishing cooperation with Russia deliberate, and it's a bad omen. The history of Germany and Russia is a history of powerful collisions, followed by periods of cooperation. The periods of these were short-lived, based on a common strategic necessity before any major conflict. An example of this — the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. History proves that Russia is no friend of Germany, and when they begin to pretend that close, wait for the war.
Eastern Europe, which in 1939 divided between the Soviet Union and the Third Reich, remembers the story and watching the thaw in relations between Moscow and Berlin with increasing anxiety. Stratfor in this regard, writes: "Of course, joint ventures and gas pipelines are not equal reconstruction of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, but these states have to take into account the possibility of a more serious threat to the future». Stratfor continues: "It is particularly alarmed by Poland, and Warsaw are frantically trying to resist the strengthening the relationship between Berlin and Moscow. Poland wants to limit the … Russian-German relations, or at least participate in them in the format of the EU. And … even though Russia is trying to use his proposal to create an alliance to strengthen its influence and seeks to show Germany that can help her through difficult times, Berlin does not intend to act on the Russian graphics and will be able to find their leverage over Moscow. "
The fear of the revival of Russia and Germany's willingness to cooperate with Moscow makes some countries in Eastern Europe to work on the creation of a military alliance. In May, George Friedman (George Friedman) of Stratfor wrote of "a new European military force", which bears the name of the Visegrad Group, which includes Poland, Slovakia, Czech Republic and Hungary.
"It is not very militant group — wrote Friedman. — It's important strategic decision of these countries to create a "subalyansa," if you will, on how to take responsibility for their own national security … ". In his analysis, he also included a discussion of how and when the Visegrad Battle Group will expand by entering into its composition other European countries, and called the creation of a new military group, "a punctuation mark in the history of Europe."
In 2009, Trumpet columnist Brad McDonald (Brad Macdonald) wrote the following about the emerging pact between Russia and Germany: The Story about an unequivocal Germany and Russia are not close friends, and any semblance of what they are, portend war …. In truth, the creation of a Russian-German axis is now one of the most important and misunderstood processes in the world! .. History tells us how this will end. Creating a peace pact between Russia and Germany, it is a sure sign that one or both countries are preparing for the imperialist and violent action.
While concern about the growing Russian-German axis express only the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, who remember how those powers dominion over them in the recent past. But as this trend continues, more and more countries begin to notice the danger of warming relations. To see where this leads, and how it relates to the most inspiring and intimidating the news media, read the book «Germany and the Holy Roman Empire» (Germany and the Holy Roman Empire).